06/17/2014 10:22AM

Balmoral: Wednesday 6/18 Analysis


Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (20 - 35 / $86.20): KING MUFASA (5th)

Spot Play: LOVERS HOLIDAY (6th)


Race 1

(2) JESSE HILL might have needed the start last out racing evenly.  The lightly raced 3-year-old has more to offer and should be ready for a better effort.  (2a) SWAN LIFE TO LIVE filly has room to improve and proven connections.  (3) MAPLE GROVE JOE was overmatched last race but finds a much easier spot with the best post.

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Race 2

(5) LITTLE MISS TORIE freshman filly pacer makes her debut off a nice qualifier; threat.  (3) OLA HANOVER filly has disappointed so far but does have some experience on the field.  (8) BLUES QUEEN two-year-old also makes her first start and has a proven pedigree.

Race 3

In a field of first time starters (3) FOX VALLEY MACY had an excellent prep flashing nice ability.  (5) PERSUASIVE LOOK could be more fit than the others with two qualifiers and should be considered a threat.  (6) JT'S VALENTINE will offer a big price and could use some racing luck.

Race 4

(6) LYRICS FALL filly put in a strong qualifier to kick her racing career off right.  The 2-year-old a kicked away powerfully down the lane.  (5) KANDY WITH A KAY sprinted home nicely in the prep and has just as good a chance as any in the field.  (4) FOX VALLEY REDHEAD could be the sleeper in the race at a price; threat.

Race 5

(8) KING MUFASA Illinois champ is just now back in racing shape and finds an ideal spot to get back on track.   (3) CELEBRITY HERCULES gelding was an easy winner down in class and would have been a heavy favorite against this group at one point last year.  (7) TROT FUDGE SUNDAE mare was better than her line looks last out and will probably try and fire for position.

Race 6

(4) LOVERS HOLIDAY mare has been racing against much tougher and should offer a big price down in class.  (7) WESTERN BOUDOIR mare has been racing gamely and just needs a smooth trip to hit the ticket.  (5) THE RIGHT MOVE mare has some ability and makes her first start for a new trainer.

Race 7

(8) FOX VALLEY LOTUS adds second time lasix and should be ready for an improved effort against weaker.  (5) CLASS STAR has just been racing evenly but did show a good burst of speed off the gate last start.  (6) B MAN gelding is inconsistent but his best effort would beat this field.

Race 8

(6) LIQUEUR mare makes her second start back down in class and should be much closer turning for home.  (7) KITTY O'BRIEN mare was off her game last out but the connections have made a few adjustments.  The 7-year-old has the best closing ability late.  (5) FOX VALLEY SWIFT went from having some pace up in class to empty last out in for the tag.  The mare should be competitive at this level.

Race 9

(9) RICHARD TRACI has yet to win on the year but has been knocking on the door and will offer a much better price this time out.  (1) BELL VALLEY ART has been sharp in his last two and gets the best post against a similar bunch.  (2) LOOK MA NO HANDS comes off a victory and will look to ration out his speed early; vulnerable late.



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