06/09/2014 4:36PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 6/11 Analysis


Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (19 - 32 / $81.20): KITTY O’BRIEN (4th)

Spot Play: B MAN (5th)


Race 1

(1) JESSE HILL nice-looking trotter has a ton of upside and will be tough to beat in a weak field.  (5) POLARS BIG SPENDER three-year-old has been improving and makes his third start back off a layoff.  (8) POWERFUL FORCE mare's lines aren't great but the trotter was trapped in behind horses before shaking loose late with some trot.

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Race 2

(2) LD'S DASH could be rounding back into form and has won at big prices before.  (8) ME TARZAN takes a big drop down to the bottom level and should be a player late with a smooth trip.  (4) IVE GOT THE KEY don't overlook the pacer in an inconsistent field; threat.

Race 3

(6) OLA HANOVER filly has some upside but is progressing slowly.  The Indiana bred finds an inexperienced group to gain some confidence.  (5) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL two-year-old filly makes her career debut and looks to have some ability.  (1) CYBER GAL filly is 0 for her career but could hit the ticket with a decent effort.

Race 4

In a field with few contenders (1) KITTY O'BRIEN finds a much easier bunch than her last two and has the best closing kick in the race; fires late.  (4) WESTERN BOUDOUIR mare has been racing better than her lines show but would need more to hit the top spot.  (8) IT'S A SHAM mare will be firing early and usually always tries hard through the wire.

Race 5

(6) B MAN has a good move when timed right and finds a wide-open race.  (1) MR MUSCLEMANIA gets the best post and has been on the upswing.  (5) NESSIE'S BOY beat this same bunch a few starts ago; versatile.

Race 6

(3) CARNOUSTIE is an enigma because her best effort is better than these; threat.  (2) TOPVILLE BRIDGETTE was used very aggressively for a hot barn last race.  The pacing mare needs a smooth trip for her best chance.  (4) LIQUEUR mare drops back down to the bottom level where she was hitting the board consistently.

Race 7

(7) MY MISS CAROLINE is sixteen for seventeen lifetime, was a game winner last out, and should only improve coming off a long layoff.  (2) BIG CHOCOLATE barely hung on after having everything his own way last start; use caution.  (4) MY MUSCLEMAN just missed last race but is probably best used underneath with the provisional driver.

Race 8

(3) RICHARD TRACI takes a significant drop in class for connections that are winning consistently.  (4) COME N BET IT is always a threat at this level especially with a fast pace to close into.  (6) BELL VALLEY ART was a game winner off a good trip last out and could have more to offer.

Race 9

In a really weak field (9) BIRD IN FLIGHT was outkicked last start but finds a suspect field full of question marks.  (6) DAVE'S ART doesn't look good on paper but has slightly improved in his last two.  (7) SUNSET DREAMER loves burning cash and races very evenly; command a price.

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