04/29/2014 10:33AM

Balmoral: Wednesday 4/30 Analysis + Pick Five ticket


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($7,665 carryover)

Jeremey’s 50 cent Pick Five play:

3,4,5,9 / 2,4,5 / 1,3,4,7 / 3 / 1,8 = $48



Best Bet (10 - 14 / $43.00): ALWAYS A ROMANCE (9th)


Race 1

(5) TWIST N TOUT has some upside in a wide open trotting event.  The well bred 3-year-old needed his first start and gets a better post.  (3) NESSI'S BOY makes his first start off a long layoff but the trainer sends them ready first time out; threat.   (9) MYSTICAL WISHES three-year-old filly has proven connections and is a contender but the driver did opt off.

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Race 2

(2) KITTY O'BRIEN was extremely sharp last out getting beat by a game opponent.  The mare has trouble with the turn at the top of the lane but will be all business when they straighten up in the stretch.  (5) SEEKIN FOR GLAMOUR mare has been facing tougher at Hoosier but will offer low value.  The 6-year-old will have to hold off the top choice late.  (4) MISSCHIPBYART mare makes his first start in a new barn that has been hot.

Race 3

(4) VIN nice looking colt closed nicely last out and looks to be improving.  (7) TOUR HALL wasn't his best at the end of last year but the sophomore trotter looks to make it two straight to start his sophomore campaign.  (1) SWISS MOCHA draws the rail in a field full of question marks.

Race 4

(3) PURITY jogged last out in a training mile.  The Indiana-bred filly just needs to stay pacing for an open length victory.   (6) LITTLE WARRIORETTE was unable to find a way into the race from a tough spot last start.  The mare has been racing gamely but would need tons more to upset the favorite.  (4) BRIGHT LIGHT lightly raced filly still has some upside and could show improvement.

Race 5

(8) DON'T MISS A TWEET well-bred filly had a nice first effort off a long layoff and will probably be used more aggressively early in the mile.  (1) LISTMYDEDOT was a game winner wire to wire last out.  The 4-year-old has a big post edge on his main rival and will look to get some separation early.  (4) A LOCAL BAND has a good late burst if timed right; use underneath.

Race 6

(8) JUSTHAVENTMETUYET mare put in a huge effort last out and it's all systems go against this bunch; big chance.  (5) FOX VALLEY RUBY rarely wins but has been racing much better in her last few starts.    (3) CAMS SAHBRA should offer a fair price in an evenly matched field.

Race 7

(1) FOX VALLEY SIENNA mare will offer a big price, drops in class, and draws the rail.  (8) RAPHAELL well bred gelding needs to get a good spot out of the gate for his best chance.  (9) BIG SKY REVENUE seven-year-old stallion has been much better this year but looks to be in for a rough go with a tough post.

Race 8

(7) NANCYS SKYSCAPE gelding makes his third start back off a long layoff in a new barn.  The pacer was sneaky good last out and should be a major player.  (3) LOOK MA NO HANDS the connections have been sending out some sharp winners but the gelding has lacked stamina late.  (5) JO JO SPUR has ability but needs a trip.

Race 9

(5) ALWAYS A ROMANCE filly was no match for the winner in her last start but is the horse to beat with a smooth trip.  (2) CYBER GAL filly has a good burst of speed but is 0 for her career and the driver opted elsewhere.  (6) SECONDS LATER lightly raced filly is learning but could need a start.

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