12/02/2013 4:40PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 12/4 Analysis


Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (58 - 123 / $205.60): CARNOUSTIE (5th)

Spot Play: DEE DEE SAGE (8th)


Race 1

In a suspect field (5) CYBER GAL raced much better than her line looks last race and now makes her third career start; improving.  (1) VIVA VENTURI filly comes off two straight victories in qualifiers and draws the best post.  (8) SB BETTY'S IDEAL filly raced gamely last out from a tough spot and could be the horse to beat despite her record.

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Race 2

In another very weak and inconsistent field (10) GATOR BOY should offer a nice price and needed his last start.  (2) YO-ZURI two-year-old colt has shown a good early burst of speed but lacks stamina late.  (5) INCREDIBLY SPORTY gets a good driver change in a bad field.

Race 3

(5) JOLTING JEN raced gamely to a nice opponent last out and should be in line for a good trip.  (6) MS SOLONGBYEBYE was an easy winner against a similar field last out; threat.  (7) STAGE STAR filly has been improving and is one of the more consistent horses in the race.

Race 4

(1) MY MUSCLEMAN owns all the back class in the race, draws the rail, but does get sent out for an inexperienced pilot.  (2) RUBYS AND PEARLS mare has some ability and gets a much better pilot this start.  (7) OVERANDOVERVICTORY well bred gelding has been trotting some fast miles but could need a start over the track; command a price.

Race 5

(5) CARNOUSTIE nice looking filly is on a roll and looks to have more to offer.  (3) WESTERN BOUDOIR isn't the easiest horse to drive but does have one good move if timed right.  (1) KISS ME FIRST has been better in a new barn but seems to be short the mile most starts.

Race 6

(9) JB OUI OUI went a monster effort last out parked three wide to the lead before drawing off with authority.  (6) REVER EVER well bred trotter also went a big trip last start and could be the only threat to the top choice.  (5) FOX VALLEY ARROW has really been racing gamely despite finishing second in his last three starts; use underneath.

Race 7

(2) LU LU KUHN mare has three wins in seven career starts and should be ready for an improved effort despite the bump in class.  (5) ROMANTIC LEGACY filly tries hard and has good closing ability.  The sophomore pacer could use fast fractions up front for her best chance.  (4) SHE'S A DELIGHT went a big effort last out but could be overbet off that line.

Race 8

(6) DEE DEE SAGE mare is an enigma for betters racing inconsistently but does take a good drop in class and should be firing late.  (3) HEREIAM COOLWATER should be another long shot worth looking at and goes for a barn that has had some horses race big lately.  (10) CAMS SAHBRA a few starts ago would have been a heavy favorite against this bunch before tailing off.  The mare finds an inconsistent field and any kind of an effort puts her on the ticket.

Race 9

(4) KISS ME I'M LOADED gelding finds an easy spot to do some damage and has been full of trot in his last five starts.   (7) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S trotter probably has the most upside in the race but could need a start off the layoff.  (6) CLASSY CHASSY mare finds a weak field besides a few and gets a big driver change.

Race 10

In a race with few contenders (1) LA CAMCHARGER draws the rail and should save some ground before shaking loose late.   (9) TICKLE MY FANTASY has been much better in a new barn and will probably fire early for position.  (6) LOOKABOUT got a win last out off a perfect trip but seems to lack stamina late; command a price.

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