12/09/2013 3:28PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 12/11 Analysis

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Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (59 - 126 / $208.40): GATOR BOY (4th)

Spot Play: CAMS SAHBRA (9th)

 

Race 1

In a field with few contenders (6) IMNOTASONOFABEACH has been off for three weeks but has more ability than most of the field.  (8) MRS WEST ONE just missed last out after racing gamely but would need more to get past the top choice.  (9) HOOSIER HILDA filly parlayed a perfect trip into her first lifetime victory and might have gained some confidence.

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Race 2

(1) TINY MITE doesn't look like much on paper but neither does anybody else; threat.  (6) SUNBONNET SUE has just been trotting evenly but finds a suspect bunch.  (8) ACT OF VALOR well bred 2-year-old is probably better than the field but could be raced easily in his debut.

Race 3

(1) JETTING AROUND freshman filly pacer was used aggressively last out and just needs a smooth trip from the rail to get her picture taken.  (7) CYBER GAL filly has some ability and has been improving with each start.  (10) VIVA VENTURI filly also has some upside but should probably be used underneath because she will be far back early.

Race 4

(4) GATOR BOY finally got a breakthrough win last out and finds another suspect field.  (6) TOPVILLE SUNNYDAY has been much better in a new barn but might not be good enough to chase down the top choice.  (1) HOLY MCMOSES is 0 for his last 27 but does add second time lasix and gets the rail.

Race 5

In a field full of inconsistent trotters (7) HE'S LUCKY gets sent out for a new trainer and gets a good driver change; big chance.  (3) JOLLYINJAIL filly has started to figure it out recently and finds a spot to see what she's made of.  (6) LW JAYNIE FLYER has the ability to trot a big mile but has been off her game for some time; command a price.

Race 6

(9) JUSTHAVENTMETUYET comes off a scratch but has been pacing much faster than most of the field.  (3) GENTLE JANET adds lasix for the second time and makes her third start back off a layoff.  (1) INDY ROCKER GIRL raced well in a new barn last out, draws the rail and should be ready for a good effort.

Race 7

(4) ALEXIBRAY filly has a good burst of speed and might be better on the big track.  (8) CARNOUSTIE stormed up three wide to swoop the field but this spot looks to be much more competitive than her last few.  (5) SECTIONLINE PAMELA well bred pacer has been racing gamely and is versatile.

Race 8

(1) BIG CHOCOLATE lays over the field on ability and trotted a nice mile off a layoff.  (10) OVERANDOVERVICTORY also went a good first trip off the layoff and despite the tough post could be a threat late.  (5) MY MUSCLEMAN was an easy winner off an ideal trip but the provisional driver will have a much tougher time than from the rail last out.

Race 9

(10) CAMS SAHBRA the driver opted off but I think that could boost the price if a trip can be worked out.  (1) WINDOW WIPER draws the best post and was really flying late last out.   (5) PARDON mare always lacks stamina late; command a price.

Race 10

(3) LU LU KUHN is just now back in racing shape after more than a year off; threat.  (6) ROMANTIC LEGACY came up empty last out after being far back early but has shown good closing ability in the past.  (10) SHE'S A DELIGHT will offer little value and is in a tough spot; fires early.

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