11/18/2013 3:56PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 11/20 Analysis

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Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (55 - 117 / $196.40): JUSTHAVENTMETUYET (4th)

Spot Play: PARTY IN THE PARK (7th)

 

Race 1

In a very soft field (7) SEA ART adds second-time lasix and has shown a good burst of speed.  (8) YO-ZURI two-year-old was the drivers' choice and has flashed decent gate speed; threat.  (3) TOPVILLE SUNNYDAY gelding is 0 for 30 lifetime but does make his first start in a new barn and picks up the top driver.

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Race 2

(5) J-S MISS SAVAGE is a risky pick with an unknown driver but the sophomore trotting filly looks to be the fastest off all.  (3) CLASSY CHASSY trotted a big effort last race but still only has one win on the year.  (6) FANCY LABEL mare just raced evenly last time but finds a much easier spot than her last start.

Race 3

(8) IMNOTASONOFABEACH well bred filly raced gamely last out first over and could have a bit more to offer in a bad field.  (6) LU LU KUHN mare makes her first start in well over a year.  The 4-year-old has only had one qualifier but it was something to improve off of and she has flashed lots of ability in her brief career.  (5) STAGE STAR has put in two improved efforts in a row but would probably need more.

Race 4

(6) JUSTHAVENTMETUYET filly was used very aggressively last out just tiring late.  The 3-year-old will be tough to beat with a smooth trip.  (8) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH filly has been on a roll but needs a fast track.  The nice-looking pacer has been improving with every start besides the miscue on the sloppy track.  (5) WINGS mare was impressive last out down in class and might give her the confidence needed to step her game up.

Race 5

(6) DIAMOND JOE went a really nice effort first start back off a long layoff and should improve.  (4) NEW ZION faces easier and should be much closer to the pace turning for home.  (1) MACK'S GOLD BAND was an easy winner last out and was the drivers' choice; threat.

Race 6

(9) LOVERS HOLIDAY put in a big effort uncovered for most of the mile last out.  The mare could use fast fractions to close into for her best chance.  (8) FOX VALLEY ISABELA has paced some good miles in the past and would also benefit from a fast pace upfront.  (4) KID ANNETTA mare was much better last out than it looks on paper and could hit the ticket at a big price.

Race 7

(9) PARTY IN THE PARK gelding adds lasix for the first time and finds a really weak field.  (5) LOOKABOUT owns only one win on the year but has hit the board with consistency in recent starts; command a price. (6) WIMPY DOODLE two-year-old has been a disappointment after flashing some talent early but does look to be one of the faster horses in the race.

Race 8

(10) LUCKY PETERSON needs to stay pacing but should offer the right price for the risk.  (9) HEARTLAND LIBERTY has a chance at this level and just needs some racing luck.  (8) ELKHORN DAMIEN will probably be a heavy favorite but could lack pop for a new trainer; use caution.

Race 9

(6) REVER EVER well-bred gelding is having a career year and looks to be sharp.  (9) JB OUI OUI classy trotter has also been sharp in his last two efforts and just needs to find a way into the race.  (5) EVIL URGES is in need of a trip, can’t come first up, and can't be hit with the whip; command a price.

Race 10

(7) BEER AND PRETZEL first start for a new trainer and has flashed speed and talent.  (3) EARTHLY DESIRE filly looks to be much better at the big track and does have some ability.  (8) FOX VALLEY TRINITY never got into the race last out but should find this field a little softer.

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