11/17/2014 5:04PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 11/19 Analysis

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Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (47 - 94 / $185.50): YOU’RE MY HERO (1st)

Spot Play: SCARBORO HANOVER (4th)

Race 1

(4) YOU'RE MY HERO never had a shot last out even before making the break.  If the pacer minds his manners he will be very tough to beat.  (2) CHIPPER has stormed home in two straight and faces similar.  (5) MYSTICAL SHOOTER gelding might be starting to turn a corner showing a nice late kick last out.

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Race 2

In a wide open and tough race to handicap (7) LITTLE MAN MORAND beat this bunch a few starts ago and will be firing early.  (6) HOPE AND CHANGE closed decent ground last out off a very slow middle half; threat.   (2) ARLO GRAM pacer makes his second start off a long layoff and should show some improvement.

Race 3

(3) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER just missed last out racing gamely.  The pacer owns a good burst of speed when timed right.  (1) SWEET ALYSSA gets the best post with the top driver but wasn't even close to the top choice last out; command a price.  (5) PERFECTLY CLEAR filly is probably best fit for the big track and has been competitive at this level in the past.

Race 4

(1) SCARBORO HANOVER gets sent out for connections that popped one at a huge price last week.  The gelding had a nice first start over the track and should be ready for a better effort.  (2) PARKED ONDA STREET has been much better for new connections and probably should be considered the horse to beat.  (3) YERMANOS has come up empty off of perfect trips in his last two; use underneath.

Race 5

(6) BLUE GEM looks to be unstoppable at this level for hot connections; short price.  (5) JOYFUL GAME mare could be one of few threats to the top choice with a good setup; fires late.   (7) PARK LANE CRYSTAL mare is 0 for the year and is best used underneath.

Race 6

(3) RUSSELL L popped at a price first start off a layoff last out and has room to improve.  (4) COME N BET IT pacer finds much softer competition dropping in class.  The 8-year-old owns a big late kick and just needs a smooth trip for a shot late.  (7) CAMWISER will likely take heavy tote action going for three straight at this level; threat.

Race 7

(8) WANNA BE WENDY takes a significant drop in class, gets a good driver change, and will offer a big price.  The 3-year-old will need some racing luck in a wide open race.  (2) ONE LOUD DING also should offer a big price for recent hot connections; drivers choice.   (7) VAL'S WAY has just missed in her last two but looks to offer low value; use caution.

Race 8

In a really weak field tough to gauge (8) BEN N AL paced a good mile last out after a long ship.  The pacer could have more to offer second start over the track.  (3) PREMONITION is 0 for the year but has been knocking on the door at this level.   (4) CONZO has some excuses and should offer a good price.

Race 9

(7) OUR MISS LILY should get an easier lead and will be driven very aggressively.   (3) EASY ON THE CHIPS has just been racing evenly but gets sent out for capable connections.  (9) KITTY O'BRIEN mare always hits the board at this level, however the pacer gets a negative driver change; command a price.

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