10/14/2013 4:53PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 10/16 Analysis


Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (50 - 106 / $180.80): SOBER AS A JUDGE (6th)



Race 1

In a very suspect field of trotters (5) MARY QUEEN has some pedigree and comes off a nice qualifier.  (1) TIME TO QUIT gelding has been a slow learner but did show a good kick home late last out and draws the rail.  (6) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR two-year-old faces older and has trotted some good consistent miles.

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Race 2

(2) SEA ART gelding has some ability and just needs the provisional driver to keep him up close for his best chance.  (1a) CODEY SHARK two-year-old colt picks up a red-hot top driver and just needs to find a way into the race.  (7) DOMINANT KING 4-year-old stallion was good last out but could need one more start.  Make sure the pacer isn't lagging the gate if you're using him on the top spot.

Race 3

In a wide open race (1) A TANGIBLE LEASE looks to be the horse to beat and just missed at this level a few starts ago.   (4) FOX VALLEY BRAVURA filly gets a good driver change but hasn't been in a race since August.  (5) EARTHLY DESIRE filly makes her first start for new connections and could show a significant improvement; threat.

Race 4

(3) MS SOLONGBYEBYE filly should have been better last out, however the filly looks better on the big track and finds a weak field.  (1) MEKKA filly put in a big effort in her career debut and any kind of improvement puts her right on the wire.  (10) HIT BY LIGHTNING has just been racing evenly and will need to overcome a tough post; use underneath.

Race 5

(10) CELEBRITY HERCULES has been facing much tougher at Hoosier and will look to float for position early; short price.  (6) MISCHIEVOUS JESSE gelding is really sharp right now but is not in the same class as the top choice.  (4) ANTS INER PANTS mare trotted a good mile last out but couldn't make up any ground and now bumps up in class; use underneath.

Race 6

(8) SOBER AS A JUDGE five-year-old was an easy winner last out and faces the same field. The gelding just needs to stay pacing to hit the top spot.  (1) CHEYENN SHARK two-year-old faces older but does draw the rail and came charging hard late last out.  (5) L A CAMCHARGER three-year-old pacer comes off two good efforts in a row and could have some room to improve.

Race 7

(6) KISS ON THE LIPS picks up a red-hot top driver and will be tough to beat with a smooth trip.  (2) DUNESIDE BRAT filly comes off a big effort and needed the start; threat.  (5) RJ'S IRISH LASSIE mare has been racing gamely but doesn't win very often.

Race 8

(6) NEW ZION gets big time class relief and might offer a nice price with a low percentage driver.  (1) MY MUSCLEMAN trotter has been an enigma this year but does come off a decent qualifier and should save ground before shaking loose late.  (4) WHIT five-year-old stallion makes his third start off a layoff but doesn't appear to be primed just yet.

Race 9

(1) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH went a tough trip last out uncovered, but the filly wasn't grabbing the track right. The filly does bump up in class but the competition doesn't appear any better; big chance.   (4) CRUISINCAMPER filly probably has the most upside in the race and will be tough to catch without anybody pressing the pace early.  (7) FAITH AND TRUST offers a huge morning line but just paced a big mile against tougher.

Race 10

(3) COME N BET IT gelding takes a significant drop in class and will be flying late.  (6) BURSTING BLAZE just missed last out and looks to be a major player in the race.  (7) WOLFIES SPORTSTER gelding could be the sleeper in the race adding lasix for the first time; fires late.

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