09/29/2012 11:47AM

Balmoral: Sunday 9/30 Analysis


Best Bet: RECOLLECTION (8th)      Spot Play: CGS SERIOUS (4th)

Race 1

(5) POWERFUL POE set a blistering pace last start before tiring in the stretch.  Gelding could have needed that start after having some time off and should be primed for a big effort.  (6) SHOW STOPIN MONKEY has been awesome all year long, took some time off but does have a recent qualifier.  (1) POWERFUL VALOR has the best post and does show some tactical gate speed.  2yr old looks like he could be in line for an ideal trip and has room for improvement.

Race 2

(7) UNITY ROAD was absolutely loaded with late pace last time winning from an impossible spot.  In this short field he looks like he could be in a prime spot to make it three in a row.  (4) CAMARROW has been used multiple times in his last few starts.  Gelding has a chance to upset top choice if given a smooth trip.  (6) LITTLE MORE RAM has been very consistent on the year and is racing really good right now; use underneath.

Race 3

(8) DESERT COWBOY put in a huge effort last out.  Gelding made a break before forging to the lead and held for second.  He's right back in the same class and just needs to mind his manners to get his first victory of the year; short price.  (5) SHARKY DEE is a lightly raced colt who definitely needed that last start.  3yr old is well bred and looks to have some talent.  (9) ROLLING ROCKER finds a very suspect field but is saddled with a bad post.

Race 4

(6) CG'S SERIOUS was used very hard last out, but finds a very soft field.  Filly just needs to ration out her speed to get her first win of the year.  (5) BUBBALA put in a good effort for her first lifetime start and should only improve.  (1) ODDS ON CYGNUS gets post relief and with her pedigree could be sitting on a big one any week

Race 5

(4) SEMPER FIT has been racing great and is actually facing less than previous starts.  Look for him to race upfront and control the pace; short price.  (1) POWERFUL YIELD closed from way back in last start.  2yr old looks impressive and could be the only threat to the top choice.  (7) PEH BANDIT probably needed that last start and should improve some; use underneath.

Race 6

(4) MJ'S BID was parked the mile in the final last out.  She is facing a much softer field and just needs a smooth trip to get a win.  (2) FINANCIAL EFFORT is on the improve the last two months.  Filly gets a good post to work with and should be firing late.  (5) THE FACE OF LOVE likes to close from off the pace and in the short field could be in line for a great trip.

Race 7

(4) NJ'S GO JOHNNY GO came up empty last start after some very nice efforts.  If he races back to his prior starts he would be very tough to go against.  (10) CONKERS CONQUEST is a lightly raced 3yr old that has showed dramatic improvement with each start.  Gelding is saddled with a bad post and needs to float off the gate for position for his best chance to make it two in a row.  (7) AGOOD TIME TO ROCK was overmatched in last start and takes a huge drop in class.  He is facing older but has the pedigree and talent to win; threat.

Race 8

(2) RECOLLECTION looks to be trotting up a storm and is hard to go against.  Gelding is very versatile and should be near the front; short price. (5) BLOWN AWAY is 0 for 17 on the year but closed well against top choice two starts back; use underneath.  (1) LOCK HER N CRUZ had a very tough trip where she was parked the mile last start.  Mare has best post to work with and should get a good ground saving trip.

Race 9

(8) T ES ZENYATTA takes a huge drop in class and has made the most money on the year.  Filly has had some bad luck in her last few starts, but looks to be in a prime spot to get win number seven on the year.  (9) SAND STARLA showed some good late kick last out and is facing less besides top choice.  Mare could use a fast pace to close into for best chance.  (6) LISMARASLADY put in a very game effort last out and looks to be on the improve.

Race 10

(5) BOILER HEIDI HO is the most consistent mare in the field.  9yr old has been racing upfront lately but is best from off the pace.  (4) MONEY RUNNER has turned it around in her last two starts and is making first start for new connections.  (1) SHES ASTREOS makes a move to the big track and has the best post to work with.  Mare is versatile and in a good spot to get a nice piece.

Race 11

(8) THE SUPERVISOR is on a roll and faces another soft field.  Gelding will probably forge his way to the lead and never look back; short price.  (10) FOX VALLEY IVAN gets a drivers change and has talent.  Gelding is saddled with a bad post but has tactical gate speed to get into the mile.  (3) W WHITE COMET is coming off two qualifiers after taking some time off.  He showed talent earlier in the year and will probably be a big price; use underneath.


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