09/27/2014 4:00PM

Balmoral: Sunday 9/28 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (38 - 73 / $152.40): HELLO MY DREAM (5th)

Spot Play: SPEEDY ALBER (6th)

 

Race 1

In a field with few contenders (6) FOX VALLEY QATAR looked vulnerable last out but that could have been because he was off three weeks.  The undefeated 2-year-old will be looking for the top early.  (2) RT HABENERO just missed last out snapping the top choices' win streak.  The trotting gelding gets the best post and will look to make the heavy favorite work hard early.  (7) POWERFUL ABOVE ALL is trotting straighter and appears to be easier to handle; use underneath.

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Race 2

(8) SKYWAY BRENLIN has been the beaten favorite in half his lifetime starts but is sitting on a big effort soon.  (5) HAKUNA MATATA should offer a nice price and has room for improvement in an inexperienced field.  (4) HOT ROD PETE has some excuses and much more to offer for new connections.

Race 3

(6) SOUTHERNCOMFORTZONE picks up a good driver change and has flashed ability.  (9) PYTHIA  filly needs some racing luck but has some early speed which could put her in a decent spot turning for home.  (8) ALL EYES ON HER really disappointed last start coming up completely empty; command a price.

Race 4

(5) LET'S NOT DWELL well bred colt is coming along nicely and should be ready for another improved effort.   (3) SUPER SON OF SANDY is eleven for eleven on the year and was impressive in his first start on the big track being used multiple times.  (7) BLUE RIVER has been facing much tougher and picks up a good driver change.

Race 5

(5) HELLO MY DREAM has beaten much better on the year and would have to race poorly not to hit the top spot.  (4) M A DUTY has yet to put it all together but can pace a very fast mile.  (8) TOSHIE SPECIAL is just rounding into racing shape after a long layoff but would need more to get past the top choice.

Race 6

(8) SPEEDY ALBER picks up a huge driver change for new connections; big chance.  (3) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO well bred 4-year-old put in an excellent effort last out and should have another shot late.  (2) JAKE QUAIDER faces older more seasoned opponents and is probably best used underneath.

Race 7

(3) FOX VALLEY AMANDA looks to be in line for a smooth trip up close; fires early.   (6) THESLEAZYPRINCESS is the horse to beat with any kind of effort of her last few.  (2) LIMA CALLIOPE was the top driver's choice of three and will look to pick up the pieces late.

Race 8

(5) WILDARTISCAPE just missed last out getting picked off at the wire.  The pacer has started to turn a corner and should have less ground to travel from a better post.   (8) SUNSET DREAMER looked to have no shot turning for home before exploding late last out; threat.  (9) WELL DUNE had a very tough trip last start against a similar bunch.  Three-year-old owns a good late kick and just needs some pace to close into for his best chance.

Race 9

(6) LADY LAKER four-year-old mare will be very tough to beat if she stays trotting.  (10) CELEBRITY HERCULES needs to find a way into the race but is one of few contenders in the field.  (1) MASTER OF EXCUSES looks to be in line for ground saving trip before shaking loose late.  The trotter doesn't win often but could have an outside shot with some racing luck.

Race 10

(4) ODDS ON ROLOMITE filly makes her first start in a new barn that wins a lot in this scenario.  (7) ALWAYS TALKING was sharp last out setting a lifetime mark and could threaten with a similar effort.  (1) SECONDS LATER lacks a winning instinct and will offer low value; use caution.

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