09/25/2015 1:01PM

Balmoral: Sunday 9/27 Analysis


Race 7 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (42 - 64 / $148.00): VICK VALOR (3rd)



Race 1

(9) JD CHEESE came up flat last out after being sharp prior.  If the 2-year-old gelding races back to what he's capable of he's the horse to beat.  (7)  PASTOR CLINT has some breaking issues but has flashed some ability.  (3) TODGER is capable of improving for proven connections.

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Race 2

(3) FRONTIER SARAH gets sent out for a pilot without a single win on the year, however the pacing filly raced deceptively well last out.  (7) LUCKY DALI has now looked to be a winner in two straight before being coming up short in both; command a price.  (8) I Y Q TOO will offer another big price and can hit the ticket with a good setup.

Race 3

(3) VICK VALOR wasn't as good last start but his effort the start before would beat this field by open lengths.  (7) MR STRATA faces older but owns a decent burst of speed.  (2) COMING UP TOUGH needed his last start and has room to improve with a good post.

Race 4

(7) FOX VALLEY ELI picks up the top driver in a wide open and evenly matched field.  (2) EDDIE EDDIE EDDIE couldn't close off a perfect trip last start but is in against weaker.  (5) ALWAYS KENZER might have some of the previous issues worked out coming off a decent qualifier.

Race 5

(7) POWERFUL PRINCESS filly looks to be really talented and should only improve in her second career start.  (3) VENGEFUL ran down the top choice last week and is probably the horse to beat if he stays trotting.  (8) SURVIVOR DI filly was in way to tough last start and probably needed a start over the track anyway; use underneath.

Race 6

(6) FOX VALLEY BROOKE will be a very short price coming off a win against significantly better.  (8) FOXY DANCIN scored an impressive victory last week ripping off cover to nail down the horse on the lead.  (3) LOCKPORT LEGEND has been inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts her on the ticket.

Race 7

(5) FOUR HOUR NAP was the driver's choice of four and has been sharp.  (8) FRISKIE FLICKER mare will offer a big price and gets sent out for capable connections.  (3) WINGS was no match for the top choice a few back at Maywood but the big track evens out the playing field; threat.

Race 8

(7) SHOWMETHE Z TAM well bred filly could be starting to turn a corner and is just now in racing shape.  (10) BIG EXPENSE has been off over a month and could be a tad short.  (9) SWISS MOCHA was flying late last out against similar but needs to find a way into the race.

Race 9

(2) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH will offer a much bigger price and had broken equipment last start; threat.   (3) RYLEIGH'S LILLY is in career form and can crank it up late with a good setup.  (5) JUST BY DESIGN set a lifetime mark last week at this level.

Race 10

(2) MISS PROFITABILITY finds a weak and inconsistent field; threat.  (8) LK'S NANCY LEE filly is much better than what she shows on paper but has breaking issues.  (7) MANCHESTER MATTIE comes off a nice qualifier in a field full of question marks.

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