09/19/2014 2:48PM

Balmoral: Sunday 9/21 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (37 - 70 / $149.80): HOMICIDE HUNTER (5th)

Spot Play: CARDINAL WIND (2nd)


Race 1

In a wide open field full of inconsistent trotters (3) BAGS FOR ALL could be the sleeper in the field racing for the first time for new connections that win a lot in this scenario.  (1) TWINMAPLE CANDACE filly has a ton of ability, gets the best post, and should offer a nice price.  (2) PALE ALE could show some improvement second start for a new trainer.

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Race 2

(4) CARDINAL WIND picks up a big driver change and should be ready for a better effort.  (1) FOX VALLEY CICERO has been progressing throughout the year and finds a softer spot.   (3) SAINT SIMEON is capable of trotting a good mile if he minds his manners.

Race 3

(4) MAJESTIC ROYALE was razor sharp in this barn a few starts prior.  (7) NANCYS SKYSCAPE got a perfect drive last out scoring at a price.  The pacer could be a bit overlooked while having more to offer.    (1) DOTS BIGBOY is better on the big track with his racing style; fires late.

Race 4

(1) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY will be used very aggressively against a much softer bunch.  (1A) CUZIMALEGEND has really had a tough time late in the mile but has paced faster than most of the field.  (5) FOX VALLEY SHIVER owns a good burst of speed and could pick up the pieces late if the top choices falter.

Race 5

(5) HOMICIDE HUNTER is having a fantastic year and should win with a good effort.  (1) MAC KEMP has been racing over his head his whole career and now finds a good spot to learn how to compete.  (4) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO well bred mare probably can go a lot faster than she shows.

Race 6

(1) NATIVE LIGHTS has been unstoppable for new connections but was running in a lot last out which could cost him late at some point.  (5) LD'S DASH can fly out of the gate which puts him in a great spot turning for home.  (4) READY needs a smooth trip for his best chance and is best used underneath.

Race 7

(1) ALWAYS TALKING filly is well bred and has flashed ability at this level.  (2) JOVANNA races very inconsistently but can jump up with a good one from time to time.  (4) SECONDS LATER will offer low value and rarely wins; use caution.

Race 8

(7) IMNOTASONOFABEACH pacer has shown the ability to go a big three-quarters of a mile and just needs more late.  (5) GABBY REI has just been racing evenly but does get good post relief in an evenly matched field.  (8) MARZY BEARZY well bred filly could get good spot out of the gate making her dangerous late.

Race 9

(7) LADY LAKER needed her last start and raced gamely.  (6) CELEBRITY HERCULES does his best racing at this track and is one of few threats to the top choice.  (4) POWERFUL SPEED has a terrible breaking problem at the track but is a very fast trotter.

Race 10

(2) R DUNESHINE gelding had no excuse last out and is 0 for the year, however a good effort puts him in the mix; threat.  (5) SUNSET DREAMER has turned a corner and finds an easier bunch.  (4) WELL DUNE has the best closing kick in the field but needs a good setup.

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