09/12/2014 2:53PM

Balmoral: Sunday 9/14 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (36 - 67 / $145.60): SECONDS LATER (4th)

Spot Play: MR PEARL (2nd)


Race 1

In a field of young inexperienced trotters, (1) MISSY'S MISFIT closed nicely in her big track debut and could have more to offer at a price.  (2) OMYGOODNESS owns a nice win on the year and will be much closer turning for home.  (5) SHOWMETHE Z TAM probably has the most upside in the race but just raced evenly last out and will offer low value.

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Race 2

(1A) MR PEARL raced better than his line indicates in his last effort.  The lightly raced 2-year-old showed a big burst of speed last out.  (7) PISTOPACKINPIPER gets sent out for proven connections against much weaker.  (3) LET'S NOT DWELL is a well bred colt that has plenty of room to improve in a field full of question marks.

Race 3

(1) ALL EYES ON HER would beat this field with a similar effort to her last few.  (5) PYTHIA owns the best win in the field by far, but has trouble staying trotting at times.  (4) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR is capable but has one win in 32 starts; use underneath.

Race 4

(3) SECONDS LATER finds a suspect field to gain some confidence.  (5) RIDE SALLY could be the only threat to the top choice but has a tendency to come up short when it matters most.  (7) WILD BERRY MUFFLER doesn't look the best on paper but is capable of hitting the ticket at a price.

Race 5

In a wide open betting race, (4) WESTERN DEAL is better from off the pace and keeps the top driver.  (2) BELL VALLEY BILL is due for a big effort at this level; threat.  (6) GALACTIC STAR has been pacing consistent miles and will be firing early.

Race 6

(1) SKYWAY BRENLIN raced greenly last out and was also a little rough-gaited.  The pacer has a big engine and should score a victory with a similar effort.  (8) BLOODBATH MCGRATH is a head case at times but does own a big burst of speed.   (5) IT'S A BIG SECRET looks to be primed for a better effort against weaker.

Race 7

(1) RITASCAPE is a talented mare that jumps up in class off a victory and should offer decent value.   (3) LOVE THIS PLACE owns the most back class in the field but will need more to get past the top choice.  (5) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH picks up the top driver and will have a say late.

Race 8

(9) LADY LAKER hails from a barn that has a tremendous winning percentage at the track.  The mare tried her luck against the best in the country and finds a much softer spot.  (4) VIPER BLUE CHIP picks up the top driver and could be ready for a better effort.   (3) CELEBRITY HERCULES had to need the start off a month, but still should've had more; command a price.

Race 9

(7) SEA WATCHER is a lightly raced mare that has been improving with every start and will be tough to catch with an early breather.  (8) GET THE TERROR races inconsistently week to week but owns a big late kick every other start; threat.  (9) GABBY REI looked to be turning a corner before racing evenly in her last three.

Race 10

(5) NATIVE LIGHTS gets sent out for red hot connections and will be on the move early.  (6) WELL DUNE has a big burst of speed and with a good setup should be in the mix to hit the exacta.  (10) BLUE TRUTH owns more ability than what he's shown but is best used underneath at a price.

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