08/29/2014 10:22AM

Balmoral: Sunday 8/31 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (34 - 61 / $138.80): TECH SAVVY (3rd)

Spot Play: LIZZABELLE (10th)

 

Race 1

(5) REX PASSUS crushed this bunch last start and will do it again if he minds his manners.   (6) I'M REAL GOOD is one of few threats to the favorite but doesn't have the best gait.  (3) LD'S DASH has been racing gamely and owns good gate speed which should put him in a good spot turning for home.

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Race 2

(8) ROLLETTE filly has some upside and is the horse to beat if she stays trotting.  (4) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR owns only one lifetime win but is a definite threat to hit the ticket.  (2) AIR FORCE BLUE lightly raced 2-year-old faces older, will offer a huge price, and could pass some horses late; use underneath.

Race 3

In a very weak field (5) TECH SAVVY makes his third start back off a long layoff and put in a solid effort last out.   (1) HERE'S TOOTSIE gets the best post and could also show some improvement just now getting into racing shape.  (7) TIME MACHINE looks terrible on paper but the gelding's first start a few weeks ago was a much better effort.  If the pacer can race back to that he has a shot.

Race 4

(5) SCAT KITTY CAT  mare has yet to put it together late but should have a chance against a younger inexperienced field.   (1) JAKE QUAIDER freshman trotter makes third career start and comes off two really nice efforts to build off of.  (3) VACATIONS PRIDE well bred filly finds a soft spot to gain some confidence; driver's choice.

Race 5

(1) PARKLANE GLITTER looks to have the most upside in the race showing a big late kick last out.  (3) TREAT FOR MY SWEET the start will say it all for the first timer.  If the filly's lagging the gate she should be used underneath.  IF the pacer has her nose on the gate she has the look of a potential upsetter.  The horse who beat her in the qualifier just went a big effort winning easily.   (2) NITTY GRITTY shown some improvement last out and gets a great starting post.

Race 6

(8) MEGYN HOTSPUR has been consistently showing a big burst of speed which is more than most in the field can claim.  (4) WESTERN COWGIRL made a break last out down in class.  The filly pacer is one of few contenders in the race if she can mind her manners.  (7) ODDS ON ROLOMITE was a game winner last out but has yet to show any kind of progression; use caution.

Race 7

In the toughest race to handicap on the card (7) ARTS ROCKSTAR will offer a big price and is versatile in a very inconsistent field.  (5) LIMA CALLIOPE has yet to in win on the year but was knocking on the door at this level a few starts ago.  (8) LEANMEAN NORMAJEAN has just been racing evenly but could fire for position giving her a chance to hit the ticket.

Race 8

In another tough race to gauge (2) NATIVE LIGHTS beat a horse last out that would be a heavy favorite against this bunch.  (4) ALWAYS JIMMY RAY has been racing better than his lines indicate; threat.  (1) HECTOR B comes off a scratch but was coming along nicely prior.

Race 9

(7) SEA WATCHER lightly raced mare has been getting better with every start and was super last out.  (5) ONE JAZZY LADY filly is capable of beating this bunch and should offer a fair price.  (8) GABBY REI went from awesome to empty in her last few.  If the 3-year-old can regain her prior form she could upset.

Race 10

(9) LIZZABELLE mare just missed last out going a nice effort; big chance.  (6) SECONDS LATER filly is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts her in the mix.  (8) MEET ME TONIGHT filly has been getting better but has lacked pop late; command a price.

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