08/21/2015 3:54PM

Balmoral: Sunday 8/23 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (37 - 56 / $136.20): LK’S NANCY LEE (5th)

Spot Play: BIG EXPENSE (6th)

 

Race 1

(3) DIVENELY FLOOZY trotted a nice mile last week and has shown recent improvement.  (10) JD CHEESE freshman trotter has some breaking issues but has also flashed some ability.  (5) SHEZ A DEVIL WOMAN filly needed her last start and should be ready for a better effort.

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Race 2

(2) ASHLEE'S FINE LADY two-year-old raced gamely last week to a nice opponent.  (7) FOX VALLEY BAILEY scored an impressive win at Springfield and has some upside.  (3) SASSY ELLIE gets sent out for capable connections and should offer value in a field with few contenders.

Race 3

(3) MR STRATA gelding will look to break his maiden in a very weak field.  (8) EXPLOSIVE POWER well bred trotter could be sitting on an improved effort at a price.  (7) HUSTLIN COUGAR just missed last out racing gamely but needs more late.

Race 4

(1) HALLELUJAH FLIGHT has just been racing been racing evenly but will offer a huge price in a field full of question marks.  (7) POKER JOE really showed a big burst of speed last start racing gamely for the first three quarters of the mile; threat.  (9) THE DALI'S LLAMA owns the only pari-mutual victory on the year of the entire field.

Race 5

(7) LK'S NANCY LEE filly has a lot of ability and just needs to stay pacing to handle this bunch.  (2) SWEETSHADYSHARK was the top driver's choice and takes a big drop in competition.  The freshman filly pacer looks primed for an improved effort.  (1) FAT AND POE gets the best post in a weak field; threat.

Race 6

(10) BIG EXPENSE will offer much better value this start looking to make it four straight wins to kick off his career; fires early.  (1) CHINES FOR ALL trotted a big mile against much tougher last week.  The 3-year-old gets sent out for proven connections and gets a big post edge on his main rivals.  (8) ABC BIG SHOT has been very competitive against similar and will also offer a much better price.

Race 7

(5) KRUSTY THE CLOWN has been much better for a new barn.  The 5-year-old just missed last week pacing a big last quarter.  (9) REX PASSUS has had trouble going by late hanging a bit and always offers low value; command a price.  (6) KOSTAS WIE set a lifetime mark last start racing tenaciously.  If the pacer races like that again he makes it two straight.

Race 8

(10) PERSUASIVE LOOK faces older more accomplished horses however the filly looks to be in the best form of the field.   (6) SHOW STOPIN MONKEY stallion trotter looks to be in career form and could surprise this field with an easy early lead.  (9) MY MINI SNICKERS holds a big win over the top choice but gets sent out for a low percentage provisional driver; threat.

Race 9

(2) SVAYA KNOWS will offer the better value, gets sent out for proven connections,  and is capable of pacing a big mile any week.  (1) CAMWISER was the driver's choice of four and gets the best post.   (9) ONE LAST CHANCE has an outside shot to upset with some racing luck but will need a good setup.

Race 10

In an excellent betting race (5) ALWAYS TALKING gets a big morning line and was sneaky sharp last week making up a ton of ground late.  (8) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL if the filly pacer is lagging the gate keep her off your top few spots.  However if the 3-year-old is driven aggressively she's one of the horses to beat.  (2) DUNESIDE PERTTIE has been facing much tougher all season long and just needs a smooth trip for a big chance.

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