08/09/2013 4:21PM

Balmoral: Sunday 8/11 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (43 - 83 / $150.20): BUST MY CHOPS (2nd)



Race 1

In a very bad field (8) VAN DONK has a win in this class and just needs to ration out his speed early.  (6) MEGAFORCE HALL gelding ships in from Ohio and makes his first start in a red hot barn; threat.  (7) ALL DUNE has just been racing evenly but is one of few who own a win this year.

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Race 2

(5) BUST MY CHOPS filly needed her last start and finds a short and inconsistent field.  The 3-year-old showed a good burst late in the mile and should be sharper.  (6) ISLAND PRINCESS went a big middle half in the qualifier before tiring badly, however the filly finds a very soft field.  (3) KB'S BETTY lightly raced pacer makes her third start and has at least shown some improvement.

Race 3

(1) SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE well bred filly makes her career debut off a sterling qualifier and has the pedigree to be really good.  (7) FOX VALLEY ROCKN filly faces easier and is one of few contenders in the race.  (5) PARTY HANGOVER TWO went a big mile at Maywood last out making up good ground from a tough spot.

Race 4

(1) ANYTHING I WANT freshman pacer draws the rail and looks to be pacing faster than most of the field.  (6) DÉJÀ VU GURU was used too aggressively last out but did show a good burst of speed when she was used twice.  (2) BOX YOU IN two-year-old had a good first start and should only improve off that effort.

Race 5

(4) FANCY LABEL mare has more talent than most of the field and finally gets a good post; big chance.  (6) AMERICAN EMPRESS filly faces a much easier bunch but has just been racing evenly; command a price.  (3) ROSE'S CYCLONE three-year-old trotter keeps the top driver and has shown good closing ability.

Race 6

(3) BELL VALLEY ART five-year-old has been off three weeks but has the most upside in the race and has been improving with each start.  (4) TANGIBLE HOPE was brutalized last start at Maywood parked the mile but does have the speed and ability to get his picture taken with a good trip.  (7) COAL BLACK missed the gate at Maywood by a significant amount that his lines do not show.  The gelding owns gate speed and could be tough to catch if left alone on the lead.

Race 7

(7) W WHITE COMET gelding takes a big drop in class down to the bottom level and that should help his chances tremendously.  (3) LARRY'S PLACE after a few months of no racing luck and coming up empty the 9-year-old looked to be shot out of a cannon last mile just missing.  (2) IVE GOT THE KEY was a game winner last out after an ideal trip; threat.

Race 8

(6) LUCKY CRUSADER  four-year-old has been really sharp and actually faces an easier field than his last.  (4) EL SHOOTER three-year-old gelding keeps going tough trips and has more talent than he shows; threat.  (5) MARTZ CREEK PERRY has been improving with each start and could hit the board with a good effort.

Race 9

(10) LAD'S LEGACY will offer a big price from a tough post; if the 8-year-old trotter fires off the gate he would have a chance to upset in an inconsistent field.  (1) FRAHER HILL VICTOR gelding owns only one win on the year and looks to be a heavy favorite; use caution.  (9) CLASSIC BLAZE mare looks to be back in racing shape off a layoff and is a contender in the weak field.

Race 10

In another tough field to handicap (4) FOX VALLEY ISABELA has been facing better and paced a big mile last out.  (5) WHATASWEETFLIGHT got a win at a huge price in this class two weeks ago and could use fast fractions to close into.  (3) OUR LAST ROSE has yet to hit the board this year in eight starts but could hit the ticket in a very evenly matched field.


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