07/18/2014 3:17PM

Balmoral: Sunday 7/20 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (27 - 47 / $111.00): FOX VALLEY ABSOLUT (7th)

Spot Play: DP ANGEL (4th)


Race 1

(4) FOX VALLEY YOKO looks to have tons of ability and gets sent out for a red-hot trainer with young trotters.  (3) QUEEN BEE filly had broken equipment last out late in the mile while leading; threat.  (1) PERSUASIVE LOOK lightly raced filly was right there on the wire against these and gets the best post.

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Race 2

In an extremely tough race to handicap (1) FULL OF GRACE will offer a big price, gets the best post, and just needs to mind her manners for a shot late.   (6) BEST LEGACY has an excellent pedigree and proven connections.  (7) MELODIOUS BLUECHIP faces older but finished with a lot of pace last out.

Race 3

(1) SOUTHERNCOMFORTZONE will need to mind his manners but looked to have a big chance before the miscue.  (3) RT HABENERO two-year-old gelding just raced evenly last out but has lots of room to improve in his second lifetime start.  (5) SOUTHERN SPECIAL was better in the qualifier and finds a wide-open field of 2-year-old trotters.

Race 4

(4) DP ANGEL is deceptively sharp and could pop at a price any week.  (3) LOVE YOU ALWAYS has beaten this group before and will offer a huge price.  (5) PARTY HANGOVER has been on a roll against softer and will need to step her game up; threat.

Race 5

(3) LET'S BE HONEST impeccably bred 2-year-old faces older but has the look of a real good one.  (2) SCAT KITTY CAT mare is on the comeback trail after a long layoff.  The 6-year-old makes her third start back and should be much tighter.  (7) ROLLETTE filly has yet to put it all together but finds a wide-open race to get a piece; fires late.

Race 6

(5) PARK LANE CRYSTAL takes a significant drop in class and just needs a smooth trip to find the winners circle for the first time on the year.  (1) FINANCIAL EFFORT mares best effort would make her a threat but the pacer seems to have a lot of issues; command a price.  (4) LIZZABELLE rarely wins but owns gate speed and could hit the bottom of the ticket at a price.

Race 7

(6) FOX VALLEY ABSOLUT mare doesn't necessarily show it on paper but was blocked with nowhere to go last start or the result would have been different.  (1) WINSPIRATIONAL had some tough racing luck last out but still almost swooped the field.  However the well bred pacing mare takes a jump up in class and would need more.  (7) GENTLE JANET has really blossomed into a nice pacer and just missed at this level last out.

Race 8

(2) VIPER BLUE CHIP has been facing much better out east and dominated this class last year.  (1) VAPORSTAR takes a big drop in class and should get a good trip up close to the pace.  (7) POWERFUL POE four-year-old has yet to make the transition facing older but had more interest late last out and was the driver's choice.

Race 9

(1) SVAYA KNOWS drops in for a tag and will be used very aggressively for new connections that have shown a lot of success in this scenario.  (7) L A CAMCHARGER is also back in for a tag and has put in some good efforts recently that would get the job done in this spot.  (2) CONZO has been slowly improving and put in a career best last out; threat.

Race 10

In a field with few contenders (8) I'M REAL GOOD is one of them and was the driver's choice.  (9) MEAN JD MUSTARD comes off two straight wins but does bump up in class.  (4) HECTOR B just missed last out and owns the best closing ability in the race.

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