06/26/2015 1:49PM

Balmoral: Sunday 6/28 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (26 - 40 / $94.80): MYSTICAL WISHES (8th)

Spot Play: MOON BAY DANCER (5th)

 

Race 1

(3) CAPTAIN GREEDY should offer the better price of the contenders and has been gaining confidence with each of his last two victories.  (2) FOX VALLEY QATAR has now made breaks in two straight.  The 2-year-old champ cannot beat the top choice if he makes another miscue.  (1) SOUTHERN SPECIAL might have taken a step in the right direction last start showing a big burst of speed.

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Race 2

In a very difficult race to handicap, (6) DIAMOND DESIRE IVY should be in a nice spot early on and finds a weak field.  (10) HARPER VALLEY BOY pacer has more ability than most of the field but has lacked pop late at times and needs to find a way into the race.  (2) THE DALI'S LLAMA looks terrible on paper but was improved in the qualifier.

Race 3

(8) LOVE U FOREVER well bred filly has lots of upside and should only get better with every start.  (10) CRAZY PONDA two-year-old trotter makes his career debut for proven connections but could need a start.  (4) CONTINENTAL DIVED impeccably bred trotter just needs to stay trotting for a chance.

Race 4

(5) FOX VALLEY SERRANO freshman pacer was an 85k yearling purchase who comes off two nice qualifiers.  (3) SAND VIKING flashed some ability so far and could be the sleeper in the race at a price.  (2) J B'S HERO has room to improve in his second career start; threat.

Race 5

(5) MOON BAY DANCER pacing mare makes her first start in a new barn; big chance.  (3) WESTERN BOUDOIR set a lifetime mark last out second start in a new barn; threat.   (7) MISS PAT WEISAR has been sharp in recent and is one of few threats in the race.

Race 6

(9) FOX VALLEY AUBRY has rebounded nicely in her last two after being empty in her prior starts.  The filly can beat this bunch with an effort similar to earlier in the year.  (8) LEX filly pacer is the horse to beat and will look to ration out her speed; fires early.  (1) SPORTSMUFFLER looks to be in line for a great trip up close.

Race 7

(7) NITTY GRITTY went a big effort last out parked the mile just missing against the same group.  (9) FOX VALLEY PIPA needs to be closer turning for home but has the best closing ability in the field.  (8) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL filly pacer needs a smooth trip for a chance to hit the ticket at a price.

Race 8

(10) MYSTICAL WISHES has had a very disappointing start to the year, however the trotting mare finds a very soft field to get back on track.  (6) HERE'S JOHNNY raced well last out closing up good ground late and finds a weaker bunch.  (2) MY MINI SNICKERS filly owns a good burst of speed and will look to shake loose late for a piece; use underneath.

Race 9

(7) FOX VALLEY NORMAN pacer takes a huge drop in class for a tag and should probably be considered the horse to beat.  (5) WESTERN DEAL is just now back in racing shape and has done very well at this level when right.  (1) NANCYS SKYSCAPE has just been racing evenly; command a price.

Race 10

(7) WINDOW WIPER had no shot last out after being shuffled back but did come flying late.  (10) JUST BY DESIGN mare owns all the back class but will need a smooth trip from a low percentage pilot.  (4) WINGS seven-year-old mare was improved last out after some dull efforts; threat.

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