06/19/2015 3:56PM

Balmoral: Sunday 6/21 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (24 - 38 / $89.60): CHAR N MARG (5th)

Spot Play: LEXINGTON LADY (4th)

 

Race 1

In a field of first time 2-year-old starters, (2) PRINCE SIMBA put in a nice-looking professional qualifier first time out.  (3) WRIGHTWOOD trotting colt gets sent out for proven connections and is likely the horse to beat if he minds his manners.  (7) TODGER gelding kicked home nicely in his most recent qualifier and looks to have some ability.

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Race 2

(7) REAL SHEILA elected to not move in the mile last out a few weeks ago as the favorite.  The 3-year-old gets sent out for a hot barn and could be ready for a good effort.  (2) FOXY ELLIE raced well last out just missing; threat.   (6) H-AND-N- LETSRACE filly makes her third start back off a layoff and has room to improve in a field full of question marks.

Race 3

(3) ABC BIG SHOT gelding should offer value with a low percentage pilot coming off a really nice qualifier.  (5) LOVE YOU FOREVER just missed last out racing gamely.  The well bred trotter looks to have more to offer.  (2) CHARMING MACIE is prone to breaking issues, however the trotter has shown a good burst of speed when timed right.

Race 4

(7) LEXINGTON LADY was the best by far last out being used twice just missing at the wire.  If the 2-year-old improves off that effort she's the horse to beat.   (2) FOX VALLEY ADDISON filly didn't miss by much last out and has upside.  (1) FOX VALLEYTIRAMISU got the victory last out even after racing greenly.  The filly gets the best post and will be firing early.

Race 5

(2) CHAR N MARG filly makes her second start of her career off a big first effort kicking home nicely.  (5) FOX VALLEY GYPSY looks to own some ability but could use a smooth trip from a provisional pilot.  (7) FOX VALLEY BAILEY has room to improve against lightly raced 2-year-olds.

Race 6

(2) FOX VALLEY YOKO sat the rail against older last out before showing a good burst late.  (3) BI POLAR ROSE made a break last out leaving for position.  The 3-year-old has beat this group in two straight.  (4) PERSUASIVE LOOK filly trotter owns a win over the group as well and does her best work late.

Race 7

(6) WESTERN BOUDOIR mare makes her second start for a new barn and had some sneaky late pace last out.  (2) MISS PAT WEISAR has been competitive at this level but needs a smooth trip; threat.   (7) THEDAYYOUHAVEMADE mare is 0 for the year but has been knocking on the door in recent; use underneath.

Race 8

(2) SOUTHERN APPEAL three-year-old has a ton of upside and is the horse to beat if he stays trotting.   (1) MAGIC BABE filly comes into the race off an impressive win but will likely need more.  (5) AMAZED owns good gate speed but has lacked pop late.

Race 9

(6) BELL VALLEY BILL dominated this level last out and was the driver's choice.  (4) WESTERN DEAL needed his last start and should be sharper second start off the layoff.   (3) HOLY MCMOSES pacer has two wins in his last seventy-five starts; use underneath.

Race 10

(4) AUDREY ANNA lightly raced pacer looks to be getting better with every start and gets a post edge on her main rivals.  (10) WINDOW WIPER has been super sharp at this track and is a threat with a fast pace to close into.  (7) MR LELAND'S FILLY still has a lot of upside and ability but has not came back to her freshman form; command a price.

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