05/03/2013 3:29PM

Balmoral: Sunday 5/5 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (24 - 43 / $84.80): TROT FUDGE SUNDAE (5th)



Race 1

(6) WHOSHUR ST PAT filly comes off a good qualifier where she kicked home nicely.  Three-year-old flashed some talent last year and finds a very weak field.  (4) EMOTICON well bred 3-year-old is making his career debut and could be sitting on a good effort for proven connections.  (8) GERRIS GLIDE mare has just been racing evenly and yet to win in twenty-six career starts, but could hit the ticket in this suspect field; use underneath

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Race 2

(4) PISTOLPACKNSHOOTER gelding put in a nice effort last out at Hoosier and looks to be something he can build on.  Three-year-old is now making his third start back off a layoff after showing a lot of potential last year.  (5) MR THREE QUARTERS three-year-old colt fired home in his first start off a long layoff and should improve second time back.  (1) CHARLEY'S ARTIST three-year-old draws the best post, kicked home nicely last out, and should be in line for a great trip; threat.

Race 3

In a very weak and inconsistent field (10) JT'S FIRST gets a big driver change after making up a ton of ground late last out and should offer a huge price.  (9) SHEZ A SWIFT filly was just too far back in last but also made up a lot of ground and could use a fast pace up front to close into.  (6) SHANES LITTLE GIRL four-year-old finally showed a bit of improvement last out and keeps the top driver.

Race 4

(9) ALL CASH gelding was in over his head last race but now finds a spot where he can be competitive; fires early.  (5) COAL BLACK gelding gets a good driver change, drops in class, and appears to be pacing faster than the field.  (2) ALL DUNE three-year-old also drops in class and finds a field with few contenders.

Race 5

(5) TROT FUDGE SUNDAE filly came back razor sharp drawing away impressively and will get an early jump on her main rival; short price.  (1a) LITTLE MS CHRISSY filly is probably the only threat to the top choice but is saddled with the worst post and might need a start.  (8) SARA THE SPY filly is making her first start for new connections off two solid efforts and adds lasix for the first time.

Race 6

(1) DONTBEACHATME gelding has been second in three straight starts.  Three-year-old gets the best post and just needs to ration out his speed for a victory.  (6) MORTAL COMBAT colt kicked home nicely for the win last out and is facing the same field.  (7) CRUISENTHECIRCUIT gelding has shown the ability for a big brush and just needs the right setup for the upset.

Race 7

(7) LOVERS HOLIDAY mare put in a huge effort last out and needed the start.  The 4-year-old races better forwardly placed and should be in a good spot turning for home.   (2) WALKINTHEMOONLITE mare never got into the mile last out but now gets a good post in a very weak field.  (8) WESTERN WILLOW four-year-old went a tough trip last out but has been racing gamely consistently showing good late kick.

Race 8

(7) BLUEBIRD JAMAICAN gelding made it look easy last out firing up the rail late.  Three-year-old has the most upside in the race and just needs to mind his manners for two in a row.  (9) FRED D KEEPER four-year-old was firing off the gate when he made a miscue.  Gelding keeps top driver who might have learned something about the trotter.  (3) RENDEZVOUS KID trotter makes his third start back off a long layoff and has more talent than most of the field.

Race 9

(6) WOLFIES SPORTSTER four-year-old pacer shook free too late last out just missing.  The gelding just needs a smooth trip to get his picture taken.  (1) LOOK MA NO HANDS gelding made a miscue before flying home to miss by less than three lengths.  Four-year-old gets the best post and should be much closer turning for home; fires late.  (4) THATSWHATTHEYSAY gelding gets used multiple times every start and always seems to be close.

Race 10

(1) JETTIN JAMIE is a risky play because of the breaking issue she showed last out but the filly is loaded with talent and has big-time speed.  (5) TWILIGHT DELIGHT mare takes a big drop in class and should the top choice have an issue would be the horse to beat.  (8) CJ'S TERROR mare gets a huge driver change and just needs a fast pace up front to come flying late.