05/01/2015 4:12PM

Balmoral: Sunday 5/3 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (17 - 24 / $64.60): JUSTICE JET (6th)

Spot Play: M A BAY (1st)

 

Race 1

(6) M A BAY sophomore pacer put in a huge effort first start back off the layoff.  The gelding could be the horse to beat with any improvement.  (5) GIFTED BY NATURE gets sent out for proven connections off a really nice qualifier.  (4) DINKY DUNE three-year-old looks primed for a better effort third start back.

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Race 2

(6) FOX VALLEY QATAR looks to have come back strong for his 3-year-old debut; short price.  (2) CAPTAIN GREEDY could be the only shot at an upset coming off an outstanding freshman year.  (3) FOX VALLEY THEBOSS picks up the top driver off two solid qualifiers.      

Race 3

(2) LOCKPORT LEGEND doesn't look the best on paper but has room to improve at a price.  (9) BS TYRICHESS comes off a break and a scratch but owns ability when right.  (3) FOX VALLEY KIT filly comes into the race off a layoff and probably needs a start; use underneath.

Race 4

(7) LET'S BE HONEST put in a huge effort after an early break last out.  If the well bred trotter minds his manners he's going to be tough to keep off the top spot.  (3) LC'SNMOTION filly has some upside; threat.  (1) BB WHISTLE gets the best post coming off a win at this level.

Race 5

In a field with few contenders (3) LEX might be able to duplicate her last effort getting some separation from her main rival early.  (9) MR LELAND'S FILLY the barn has brought back the horses slowly and might use this spot as another tune-up.  (5) GALLEY WENCH paced a good mile last out but needs more; use underneath.

Race 6

(6) JUSTICE JET finds a really suspect bunch; short price.  (3) MASTER OF EXCUSES might offer value underneath.  (2) EASTER TEKA put in a big effort off the bench and has room to move forward.

Race 7

(7) IF I DIDNT DREAM drops back in for a tag against much weaker; big chance.  (6) MIRIAM'S JET is one of few threats to the top choice but races inconsistently from week to week.   (5) JENNA W RIVNDEL could hit the ticket at a price underneath but needs some racing luck.

Race 8

(5) AUBSESSION mare has been racing gamely and just needs a smooth trip for a chance late.  (6) ANIGHTWITHWILMA has been very competitive at this level; threat.  (3) SEEKIN FOR GLAMOUR comes off a nice victory but has never raced her best on the big track; use caution.

Race 9

In a weak and inconsistent field (3) TOUCH THE SKY probably needed the start last out and raced well; threat.  (4) LITTLE HANK finds a really soft spot to do some damage.  (5) HOLY MCMOSES has two wins in his last sixty-nine starts but has been knocking on the door.

Race 10

(4) AJ GET'S THE MONEY looks to be in line for another nice trip up close.  (9) MONOPOLY MAN just missed making it three straight last out; threat.   (6) CAMWISER gelding owns six wins in thirteen starts on the year and has dominated this level at times; fires early

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