05/16/2014 3:26PM

Balmoral: Sunday 5/18 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (13 - 21 / $52.80): ONE JAZZY LADY (7th)

Spot Play: CON GAME (4th)


Race 1

(4) COME N BET IT drops back down to the bottom level and just needs some pace to close into to sweep past late.   (7) FOX VALLEY IVAN has been racing gamely and will get another aggressive drive.  (3) BRUSH THIRTEEN has some ability and could have more to offer off a nice effort.

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Race 2

(4) MACIE RAE was really good first start back off a layoff.  The filly has a ton of upside and could be the horse to beat.  (10) BAILEY'S WISH will be gunning out of the gate for position and should get a nice piece of the pie if she minds her manners.  (5) LORA LEE BREEZE has room for improvement after two solid starts but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 3

In a field with few contenders (9) MEET ME TONIGHT was a game winner last out after an ideal trip.  The 3-year old could get the jump on his main rival early.  (7) VAL'S WAY closed good ground last out and finds the same field.  If the pacer gets a smooth trip he'll be much tougher to hold off this time.  (6) KOBY'S HOOT mare tries the big track for the first time and could take advantage of her gate speed early; use underneath.

Race 4

(2) CON GAME is a major threat first time out for red hot connections.  (5) WESTERN DEAL was up against it last out against a sharp opponent.  The 11-year-old should be much closer for turning for home.  (7) ALLAMERICAN SOLO gelding just doesn't win often; use underneath.

Race 5

(6) RIP N ROCK has been awesome in his last two and shows no signs of letting up.   (3) BLUE RIVER has some upside and should be able to get a good stalking spot out of the gate.  (7) R DUNESHINE has flashed some ability but would need much more against the top choice.

Race 6

(1) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE mare owns all the back class and appears to be turning it around after a couple of dull efforts.  (4) JUST BY DESIGN was brutalized last out but is reunited with her regular pilot and should be ready for a better effort after a long layoff.  (5) SCHMATIE mare looked like she was waiting for another week with the bad post last race and should be driven more aggressively in this spot.

Race 7

(4) ONE JAZZY LADY adds lasix for the second time and makes her second start back coming off a big first effort.  (3) IGETAGOODFEELING well bred filly was caught inside last out and had more to offer.  (2) LIZZABELLE was no match for the top choice last out; use underneath.

Race 8

(6) PARTY HANGOVER filly should offer a nice price and has come back off a layoff sharp; threat.  (2) BUONCAMMINO sophomore pacer has a big engine but is her own worst enemy at times.  The filly has a ton of ability and just needs to stay pacing for nice payday.  (7) MY LITTLE BIT gets sent out for a top barn but could need a start.

Race 9

(8) KING MUFASA Illinois Champ comes off two super qualifiers and gets put in with a vulnerable morning line favorite.  (3) SARA THE SPY was an easy winner against less last week but will need to step her game up to hit the top spot.  (6) DIAMOND JOE is facing slightly less and owns a good brush.

Race 10

(6) ACT OF MAGIC has been dominant in this class showing a big late kick.  (7) FRISKIE FLICKER mare gets a questionable price tag from out east.  The 5-year-old plummets in class but if all is right will be there on the wire.  (8) EARTHLY DESIRE was a force in this class for the connections a short time ago. 



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