05/09/2014 1:59PM

Balmoral: Sunday 5/11 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (13 - 18 / $52.80): KITTY O’BRIEN (3rd)   

Spot Play: ALWAYS A ROMANCE (8th)

 

Race 1

(2) QUADROPHENIA well-bred filly comes off a solid qualifier to a good horse.  The 3-year-old makes her career debut and finds a suspect field.  (8) CARDINAL WIND just missed last out but has been improving.  (7) AGENT BOOTH also improved nicely last out and will offer a huge price.

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Race 2

In a wide open field (2) ODDS ON TOPAZ goes for a driver that rarely wins but the nice looking filly adds lasix for the first time and has three qualifiers under her belt going into her first start.  (4) FOX VALLEY KYLEE makes her third start back off a layoff and was the driver's choice.  (7) CHEAP WINE ON ICE filly has the most upside in the race but could be using the race as a tune up; use caution.

Race 3

(6) KITTY O'BRIEN mare is a smooth trip away from cashing in her third start back off a layoff.  (1) LADYBONES takes a big drop down in class, draws the best post, and would have beat this field by open lengths last year.  (7) LIQUEUR mare has been sharp in her last two but would still need more to hit the top.

Race 4

(2) SAY NO MO filly flashed some ability last out and has room to improve.  (4) BAILEY'S WISH last year's 2-year-old champ made a break in her first start of the year but looked to just overtrot herself getting to the top.  (5) ROLLETTE filly was a game winner last out and should offer a nice price.

Race 5

In the toughest race to handicap on the card (6) M A REFLING could have the most ability in a field full of question marks if she's ready to go.  (5) SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE filly makes her first start for a new trainer and has a nice pedigree.  (3) THESLEAZYPRINCESS filly was a bit short last out and might need another start despite the trainer usually having them ready off the bench.

Race 6

(8) JB OUI OUI will look to make it four in a row and should offer a better price than last out.  (3) POWERFUL SPEED gelding showed a wicked brush last start against the top choice and is a threat if he makes the gate.  (5) CELEBRITY HERCULES looks to be just now back in racing shape and should be ready for a good effort against this group.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders (1) RICKY BOBBIE appears to be getting better with every start and is versatile.    (5) NITROGEN FUSE was full of pace last out but goes for inconsistent connections.  (2) MORTAL COMBAT has just been racing; use underneath.

Race 8

(7) ALWAYS A ROMANCE filly is finding her best stride and was really sharp last out.  The Indiana bred sophomore faces much tougher but with any kind of a setup will be flying late.  (3) LIZZABELLE mare has a lot of gate speed and gets a huge drivers change.  (1) ONE JAZZY LADY filly adds lasix for the first time and comes off a good qualifier; threat.

Race 9

(1) MEET ME TONIGHT filly closed nicely last out and faces a much softer field.  (7) VAL'S WAY takes a significant drop in class and is the only pacer in the field with a victory on the year.  (3) MYKINDAPRINCESS filly has proven connections and adds second time lasix; use underneath.

Race 10

(8) FOX VALLEY CUPID sophomore pacer should offer a big price and has a lot of ability.  (6) FOX VALLEY VAN gelding sticks out on paper making his third start back off of two excellent efforts.  (7) UNCLE UGLY should be ready for an aggressive effort after a few starts.

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