04/25/2014 3:03PM

Balmoral: Sunday 4/27 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (9 - 12 / $39.60): GRAM LEGEND (7th)

Spot Play: MORTAL COMBAT (5th)


Race 1

(6) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER filly has some ability but is still racing greenly.  She could be the horse to beat in a field with few contenders.  (9) STAGE STAR nice looking 3-year-old filly was a game winner last out gunning down the top choice late.  (8) BONJOUR MADAM could have an outside shot with some racing luck.

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Race 2

(1a) LOVIN YOU FOREVER adds second time lasix and should be closer turning for home in a weak field.  (7) SIPPY CUP lightly raced trotter has had a tendency to tire late, but does own a win against this group.  (8) BAND OF PEARLS mare could upset with the right trip.

Race 3

In a wide open race that is tough to handicap (9) DIFFERENCE MAKER makes a start in a red hot barn and faces a much easier field.  (2) SUNSET DREAMER pacer has been a bit of a disappointment but has raced better on the big track; command a price.  (4) INCREDIBLY SPORTY has been improving which not many in the field can say.

Race 4

(1) HERE'S JOHNNY impeccably bred stallion drops in class, faces a much easier field, and was the driver's choice.  (5) MASTER OF EXCUSES is just that most of the time having yet to win a race this year having just been picked off late twice.  The trotter has a good burst of speed and could score with a smooth trip.  (2) SEMPER FIT could be sitting on a much better effort after finally getting some starts under his belt after a long layoff.

Race 5

(3) MORTAL COMBAT would be a huge threat with any kind of improvement from his first effort off the bench.  The 4-year-old stallion adds lasix for the first time and has upside.  (2) NO FEAR NO DOUBT five-year-old has won three of five starts; fires early.  (1) FORTUNE DOR the driver opted elsewhere but the pacer has been racing gamely and benefits from the rail.

Race 6

(5) GREEN ACRES filly adds lasix for the second time, has room to improve second start back, but does need some racing luck with a low percentage driver.  (10) BAILEY'S WISH last year's two-year-old trotting champ is back after a six month layoff.  She has the worst post to overcome and her first start back is a concern.  (1) S V SPIRIT raced well first start of the year and draws the best post.

Race 7

(9) GRAM LEGEND gelding kicked home with a good burst and was just asked to pace the last part of the mile.  If he gets an aggressive drive he could be one of the best plays on the card.  (7) CJ OTT has shown a big burst of speed but needs some racing luck to hit the top spot.  (4) FOX VALLEY MISO takes a slight bump up in class but also closed up nicely in his most recent start.

Race 8

(6) BUONCAMMINO filly's last mile showed a lot despite breaking twice.  The pacer is the horse to beat in a weak field if she minds her manners.  (1) OUR MISS SPECIAL has shown really good improvement in both of her starts after the scratch.  Indiana bred filly draws the best post and should offer a good price.  (2) MY GIRL PIPPA had a lot of pace late before being taken out of the race last start.  The filly would need to show a lot more to hit the top spot; use underneath.

Race 9

(2) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH is razor sharp and extremely tough to pick against.  (6) CARNOUSTIE mare is one of few threats to the top choice and put in a big effort last out just missing.  (5) WINSPIRATIONAL was used multiple times last out being roughed up.  The well bred mare has tons of gate speed but needs a smooth trip.

Race 10

(7) OSAGE mare makes her third start back off a layoff and should offer a big price in a wide open field.  (6) ACT OF MAGIC disappeared from the field late last out with a big last quarter.  The mare would be tough to beat with a repeat of that effort. (4) MOON BAY DANCER is one of the horses to beat in the race but will offer low value and doesn't have to hit the board.

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