02/27/2015 5:15PM

Balmoral: Sunday 3/1 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (5 - 9 / $14.80): ANTS INER PANTS (5th)

Spot Play: NITTY GRITTY (2nd)


Race 1

(1a) FRONTIER PINE BOW made a break last out but needed the effort and just needs to stay trotting for a piece.  (3) MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE trotting mare makes her third lifetime start and put in a nice mile last out.  (7) PAROLE OFFICER beat similar last week and has some upside; threat.

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Race 2

(4) NITTY GRITTY mare finally showed some life last out saving ground up the rail with a nice late kick.  The 4-year-old will offer a big price in a weak field.  (1) MISSIANA bumps up in class off a nice victory and finds a wide open race.  (3) LYRICS FALL filly makes her first start of the year off a long layoff.  The connections usually take back off the gate and make a run late in this scenario; use underneath.

Race 3

(4) SHIFTTANEXTGEAR was used very aggressively last out making a big move before tiring.  The lightly raced 4-year-old can score a victory with a trouble free trip.  (1) JUST DO IT JESSE is just now back in racing shape and has room to improve from the rail.  (5) DIAMOND DESIRE IVY sophomore pacer is 0 for his career but has hit the board a lot.

Race 4

(1a) JOVANNA made a big brush late last out and now finds a weaker field.   (2) BABYSHOEBUYER mare could be ready for a better effort third start back.   (4) SOFT VELVET has been outkicked late recently and is probably best used underneath.

Race 5

(8) ANTS INER PANTS mare will look to drop and pop and just needs to avoid an early skirmish for a big chance late.  (4) REPEAT YOUR ABC'S could have needed his last start coming off a scratch and also drops in class; threat.  (5) MAYFAIR SOPHIE could hit the ticket with a smooth trip and some racing luck.  The 4-year-old is talented but needs to stay trotting.

Race 6

(1) PRETTY PLACE faces much easier competition with the best post.  (5) FOX VALLEY SHIVER mare is inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts her in the mix.  (3) MIND ERASER has paced big miles in the past and could offer value underneath.

Race 7

(1) IF I DIDNT DREAM mare finds a soft field and needed her last start.  (2) MIRIAM'S JET made a big brush to the lead last out but has lacked stamina late; command a price.  (7) GABBY REI couldn't score off a perfect trip last out and will offer low value; use caution.

Race 8

(2) FAMILY SPIRIT N veteran pacer makes his second start back off a long layoff and has room to improve at a price.  (7) STAR CHASER popped at a price last out and looks to have more to offer.  (6) JO JO SPUR gelding is always a threat at this level.

Race 9

In a really weak field (2) PIP'S QUATRO should offer a better price coming off a break and has raced better on the big track.  (4) TRIGGERHAPPY HERO is capable of a big effort despite not winning in some time.  (3) REALLY LUCKY impeccable bred pacer raced well last out and should probably be considered the horse to beat.

Race 10

(3) MOON BAY DANCER had to go three wide into dull cover and didn't miss by much against the same group last out.  (4) LA SEMANA HANOVER gets sent out for proven connections; threat.   (6) LCB SANDY needed her last start and is the main danger late with some pace to close into.

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