02/13/2015 3:15PM

Balmoral: Sunday 2/15 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (3 - 5 / $8.60): PAROLE OFFICER (1st)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY SHIVER (7th)

 

Race 1

(6) PAROLE OFFICER made a break last out and still almost got the victory.  The lightly raced trotter makes his second start back and will win for fun if he stays trotting.  (7) MUSCULAR YANKEE also needed his last start and has some upside in a weak field.  (1) PIZZALICIOUS sophomore trotter makes his second start off a long layoff and has room to improve.

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Race 2

(3) EARTHLY DESIRE mare will look to make it three straight at the same level.  (2) ROCK N KILO well bred mare looks to be one of few threats to the top choice.  (6) BABYSHOEBUYER mare had to need her last start and picks up a significant driver change.

Race 3

(7) PHANTASM wasn't ready last out off a layoff.  However the pacing colt will offer a huge price and just needs some racing luck for a piece; fires late.  (8) ARLO GRAM should probably be considered the horse to beat but will offer low value.  (5) PAST THE SHOOTER owns a decent late kick with a good setup but is one for thirty-seven lifetime; command a price.

Race 4

(4) ALWAYS A JEWEL four-year-old mare makes her first start for proven connections; big chance.   (1) MIRIAM'S JET lagged the gate last out before showing a nice burst of speed.  The 4-year-old needs a good drive from a low percentage pilot.  (3) IF I DIDNT DREAM mare has had some issues but could be ready to roll with a start under her belt after the layoff; threat.

Race 5

(4) MYKINDAPRINCESS raced well last out having been off a month and should be tighter.  (5) GREEN VALEY mare showed good ability at age two and should be sitting on an improved effort second start back after a long layoff.  (6) PARKLANE SPARKLE mare will be a short price and has a hard time sealing the deal with any adversity; vulnerable late.

Race 6

(6) FLYING ROCKET paced a good mile last out and faces a much easier bunch.  (5) MEADOWBROOK SAMSON gets a good driver change and has shown good closing ability in recent weeks.  (3) GOLDEN-NUGGET could be the sleeper in the race at a big price and didn't miss by much to the top choice two starts ago.

Race 7

(9) FOX VALLEY SHIVER mare was the driver's choice of three, takes a big drop in class, and has been competitive against much better.  (5) KIMBERLEY R rarely wins but is capable at this level.  (6) GETOUTTHEWAYANMOVE owns a big move when timed right but has had a tendency to lack stamina late; use underneath.

Race 8

(6) MAYFAIR SOPHIE trotting mare has talent and will look to go coast to coast.   (7) HOT ROD RILEY MAE veteran mare needed her start last and could bounce back at a price.  (1) LOCK AND GO gets the best post and looks to be in line for an ideal trip; fires late.

Race 9

(7) JM'SDUKEOFDELIGHT gelding makes his second start in a new barn and should have some of the kinks worked out.  (4) ITS A BIG SECRET four-year-old owns a good brush and just needs some pace to close into.  (8) SPEED RACER pacer has been sharp and should be ready to roll third start off a layoff.

Race 10

(1) MACKENZIE'S POWER mare drops to the bottom level and is capable of jumping up with a big effort.  (6) HOTMONES mare should be more effective with a smoother trip; threat.  (9) LA SEMANA HANOVER mare makes her third start in a week but finds a suspect bunch.

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