12/06/2013 4:26PM

Balmoral: Sunday 12/8 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (59 - 124 / $208.40): ZUMBA (3rd)

Spot Play: JUDE HALL (4th)


Race 1

In a wide open race (1) MUSICMOVESTHEDEVIL could be a live longshot making his second start in a new barn.  The pacer draws the rail and made up a lot of ground from a tough spot last race.   (7) KEYSTONE CAMARO just missed last out to a horse who had a perfect trip; short price.  (5) YANKEE VACATION parked the mile last start before fading but did look to be ready for a big effort.

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Race 2

(3) GOTTALUVAREDHEAD the freshman trotter finds a really weak and inconsistent field.   (1) AGENT BOOTH draws the rail and has shown a decent burst of speed.  (5) MONTICELLO LULU owns the only pari-mutuel win on the year and faces much easier competition than his last few.

Race 3

(8) ZUMBA filly takes a big drop in class and raced gamely last out.  (7) OUR LADY FITZ mare has also been facing tougher and should offer a nice price.  (5) HAZEL MAY has been much better in her recent starts and does own some closing ability.

Race 4

(4) JUDE HALL needed his last start and had a ton of pace before making a break with nowhere to go.  (3) TRULY WILD finally flashed the speed and talent he showed in his debut.  If the 2-year-old can progress off that mile he could upset.  (1) ODDS ON SERPENS well bred gelding gets a huge driver change and draws the best post.

Race 5

In what looks to be a three horse race (1) MUSCLE TRIP was the drivers' choice and comes off a big effort.  (7) MARY QUEEN I'm a little surprised the driver opted off because the trotter also raced huge last out in an unbelievable effort; threat.  (5) ALLSTAR SURVIVOR has been really good in a new barn and could have more to offer.

Race 6

(5) CJ'S TERROR never races consistently but could be a threat late with the right trip and scenario.  (4) EARTHLY DESIRE has flourished for new connections and has shown good versatility.  (6) FOX VALLEY TRINITY has just been racing evenly but does find an inconsistent field; command a price.

Race 7

(9) GOOSE ON THE ROCKS looks to be healthy and has the most upside in the race after dominating this class last out.  (2) JACKSON WYATT came up empty last out after a perfect trip but does draw the rail and add lasix for the first time.  (5) ARGON FIRE has shown a big burst of speed in two straight and shouldn't be left off your tickets.

Race 8

(7) SALUTATION HANOVER could offer some value after showing some very bad lines.  The well bred trotter takes a huge drop in class and can do it in a variety of ways.   (6) FOX VALLEY SIENNA goes for a provisional driver but the mare does have some ability.  (3) KISS ME I'M LOADED gelding made a miscue last out behind the gait but could get a piece if he stays trotting.

Race 9

(7) SEXY CARD SHARK filly is on a roll winning six straight and showed a new dimension last out firing to the top.  The pacer looks to lay over the field on paper; short price.  (10) RYLEIGH'S LILLY has been racing gamely and her last race was really good; fires late.  (3) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH filly is racing gamely but faces a horse that has been dominating; use underneath.

Race 10

(2) ROCKME AMADEOUS put in a good effort last out and fits nicely in this class.  (6) J J MAGABUCKS just missed blowing up the tote board last race and needed the start.  (5) BURSTING BLAZE was given a perfect trip in his last effort and is also a threat at this level; fires early.

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