12/05/2014 4:14PM

Balmoral: Sunday 12/7 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (53 - 102 / $205.20): CLEVER UPSTART (6th)

Spot Play: E R RHONDA (7th)

 

Race 1

In a really weak and inconsistent field (7) VALLEY PHOTO will trot past late if she minds her manners.  (6) CANTORIA lightly raced filly has been off over five weeks but is one of few with upside in the race.  (2) RIVERSIDE GOLD gelding has been racing better but has really lacked stamina late; command a price.

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Race 2

(2) WINDOW WIPER mare was used early last out setting it up for her stable mate.  The 4-year-old drops back in for a tag and does her best work late.  (5) KIMBERLY R was the driver's choice of three and beat a better field two starts prior.  (3) MACKENZIE'S POWER mare is the sleeper in the race because she can jump up with big efforts from time to time.

Race 3

(6) SHAKEITTOTHEMOON filly should offer a nice price and just needs a smooth trip for a chance late.  (7) DUNESIDE SPLASH has some question marks with the time off and the scratch.  Watch the tote board on the 2-year-old getting sent out for capable connections.  (8) BLUERIDGE ADILENE mare is 0 for the year but did race well last out.

Race 4

(1) BIG SKY REVENUE is usually good for a few starts and was sharp last out against a slightly better bunch.  (5) MAYFAIR SOPHIE filly will look to make it three straight; fires early.  (4) ITZ ALIVE gelding trotter is an enigma because he can flash a good burst of speed just enough to put him close but never passes anybody; use underneath.

Race 5

(7) RUSSELL L set a lifetime mark last start and has been sharp.  (5) JO JO SPUR gets a negative driver change but has always been a threat at this level.  (6) PARKED ONDA STREET has been much better for the current connections owning two wins against similar.

Race 6

(7) CLEVER UPSTART was a winner last time in this class and should be driven aggressively.  (6) LOCK AND GO the driver opted elsewhere but the 7-year-old could have an excuse in his last with the off track; threat.  (5) FOX VALLEY CICRERO bumps up in class off a victory and needs more; use caution.

Race 7

(4) E R RHONDA went a very tough trip last out parked the mile.  The 3-year-old makes her second start in a new barn and should have more to offer.  (2) SCHMATIE mare just missed at this level last race and a good effort makes her tough to beat.  (1) FOX VALLEY SHIVER picks up a good driver change and the best post.

Race 8

(10) ROCK N KILO well bred filly comes off a scratch but beat a better bunch in her last start.  (4) LIFE ON THE ROW filly is very inconsistent but should offer a big price and has shown a decent burst of speed in a weak field.  (3) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER filly always gives a good effort and should be in line for a nice trip up close.

Race 9

(6) GETOUTTHEWAYANMOVE should offer a better price than her last start just missing at this level off of impossible fractions to close into.  (9) PRETTY PLACE mare drops back down where she can compete; threat.  (10) GET THE TERROR picks up a new driver and is versatile.

Race 10

(7) BELL VALLEY BILL owns a class edge on the field and should be better third start back off a layoff; fires late.  (2) WESTERN DEAL gelding gets a negative driver change but was tremendous last out off the scratch.  (6) AJ GET'S THE MONEY rarely wins but has been knocking on the door pacing good miles.

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