12/20/2013 1:40PM

Balmoral: Sunday 12/22 Analysis


Race 2 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (60 - 129 / $211.80): LCB SANDY (3rd)

Spot Play: BLUES ROCKET MAN (7th)


Race 1

In a really wide open race on paper (8) PABLO'S SKY DANCER has shown a good burst of speed in his two starts and will offer a nice price.  (2) LANCE GRAM gelding comes off a scratch but did flash a nice late kick in his debut.  (3) HECTOR B got a win last out but the race set up in his favor and he gets a negative driver change.

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Race 2

(6) PERFECT PROFIT mare has ability but gets sent out for a provisional driver who has trouble keeping her trotting.  (7) TINY MITE got a nice confidence-boosting win last race.  If the 6-year-old trotting mare gets an easy lead she's dangerous.  (5) ACT OF VALOR well bred gelding has the most upside in the race and makes his second career start.

Race 3

(1) LCB SANDY never had a chance last out as the leaders crawled up front.  The pacer draws the rail, and has been facing much tougher all year.  (3) ZUMBA filly looks to be a force in this class just missing last out.  (2) BOILER HEIDI HO mare would win easily with her best effort, however she's been off her game prior to her last.

Race 4

In a really weak and inconsistent field (7) NOTHING TO WEAR looks like she has finally figured out how to race and has the fastest win in the field by far. (10) MRS WEST ONE should offer a price and has shown more ability than most of the field. (9) MISS RICH BRITCHES filly shows closing against this group from a tough spot and just needs honest fractions up front for her best chance.

Race 5

(7) MARY QUEEN mare has a high ceiling despite her breaking issues.  If the 4-year-old makes it to the top she would probably be tough to pass.  (6) ALLSTAR SURVIVOR should be in a good spot early but didn't have much to offer late last out; command a price. (5) SO PHOTOGENIC has been winging early which has left her with little trot late.  However if the filly times her move right she could hit the ticket.

Race 6

(2) SEXY CARD SHARK filly is big and really goes nicely.  The pacer gets a good post and will be on top by the quarter.  (8) PARK LANE CRYSTAL mare makes her second start back off a layoff and is one of few who could upset the top choice.  (7) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH might be to far back to challenge the top choice unless the leaders battle early; use underneath.

Race 7

(10) BLUE'S ROCKET MAN well bred colt needed his last start and will probably try and fire for position.  (7) EL SHOOTER faces a much easier bunch and has been racing better than his lines show.  (9) SEA ART gelding has really blossomed in his last two starts showing big late kick.

Race 8

(10) SHE'S A DELIGHT mare has been knocking on the door and just needs to work out a trip.  (3) MCNICE gets a huge driver change but will probably reflect that in the betting.  (9) LU LU KUHN four-year-old mare is just now back in racing shape and does have the ability to pull off the upset at a big price.

Race 9

(2) ITZ ALIVE owns only one win on the year, but does get a great post and drops in class.  (3) KISS ME I'M LOADED gelding is better on the front end if he can get there.  (4) TAXMAN well bred trotter is very inconsistent but put in a nice effort last race.

Race 10

(6) LE-SIRENUSE is tough to pick against if he races like he did in his last victory.  (4) FOX VALLEY IVAN never got into the race last out but was sharp the start prior.  (7) ICE MAN COMET'H will probably try it from off the pace this time and could pick up the pieces late.

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