12/19/2014 5:31PM

Balmoral: Sunday 12/21 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (56 - 108 / $215.40): DIXIE’S BOY (4th)

Spot Play: JUSTLIVINTHEDREAM (10th)

 

Race 1

In a wide open and tough race to gauge (2) RIVERSIDE GOLD needs a smooth trip in an evenly matched race.  (3) FRONTIER PINE BOW filly faces older but is one of few with upside in the race.  (8) AMAZED has been knocking on the door against this bunch; threat.

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Race 2

(6) EVA BELLA two-year-old is progressing nicely and looks to have a lot of ability in an inconsistent field.  (4) VICTORIA IVY filly is one of few who's been competitive at this level.  (5) PERCHED ON TOP has the best late closing kick but needs a good setup.

Race 3

(1a) BLACKJACK RIVNDEL could be starting to turn a corner after drawing off late against the same bunch last out.  (3) DIAMOND DESIRE IVY has been improving with every start and gets a post edge on his main rival.  (4) TOUCH THE SKY is the question mark in the race coming off a scratch but has flashed a good burst of speed.

Race 4

In a field with few contenders (8) DIXIE'S BOY looks like he could be a nice pacer and has a big brush; versatile.  (3) CONTROL TOWER could be the only threat to the top choice off a really nice career debut.   (7) MYSTICAL SHOOTER is 0 for twenty on the year but has been pacing some nice miles; use underneath.

Race 5

(2) GAME OF DREAMERS owns only one win on the year but lays over the field on paper.  (1) DEE DEE SAGE mare is capable of a good effort but is probably best used underneath.   (6) JOKERSLITLWHITELIE mare rarely wins but does have a decent record of hitting the board.

Race 6

(4) CLEVER UPSTART has had tough racing luck in his last two and can get his picture taken with a trouble free trip.  (2) LOCK AND GO has been sharp in his last few facing better.  (8) RIET'S KID will offer a big price and could use a fast pace up front to close into for his best chance.

Race 7

In the toughest race to handicap on the card (9) ODDS ON ROLOMITE will need to find a way into the race but raced huge last out at Maywood from a tough spot.  (7) ROCK N KILO well bred filly is the sleeper in the race and looks to be ready for a good effort.  (8) SECONDS LATER pacer loves burning cash; use underneath.

Race 8

In a field with two contenders (1) KIMBERLY R mare gets a big post edge on her main competition.  (8) MELODIE HOTSPUR mare just missed last out racing gamely; fires early.  (2) HOTMONES has made the most money in the field on the year but will need some racing luck to hit the top spot.

Race 9

(6) MAYFAIR SOPHIE filly faces older but has a lot of talent and just needs to mind her manners for a chance at a price.  (1) NESSIE'S BOY was the driver's choice and gets the best post.  (2) ENCHANTRESS LADY well bred mare had a perfect setup last out; command a price.

Race 10

(2) JUSTLIVINTHEDREAM gelding put in a big effort first start off the layoff and picks up a huge driver change.   (8) RUSSELL L gelding should probably be considered the horse to beat but has been inconsistent from week to week.  (4) PARKED ONDA STREET didn't miss by much last out and has been racing better than his lines indicate for the current connections.

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