11/30/2012 3:33PM

Balmoral: Sunday 12/2 Analysis

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There are two carryovers and three guaranteed wagers on Sunday.

Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Superfecta ($14,170 c/o)

Race 2 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five ($6,286 c/o)

Race 7 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four

Best Bet: SERGEANT STRYKER (8TH)  

Spot Play: KATE THE GREAT (4TH)

Race 1

(2) HOLDIE L gelding was overmatched and parked the mile last out. Three-year-old should be in line for a much better trip in a weak field. (6) HEEBIE JEEBIES has had two very good efforts and should improve some. (3) SOUTHERN REACTOR well bred 2-year-old looks to have the pedigree and talent to move forward.

Race 2

(5) FREE PARKIN BEHIND looked to be home free last out before tiring late.  Mare keeps top driver and just needs a smooth trip.  (6) MONEY RUNNER only has one win on the year and looks terrible on paper, but finds a very weak field.  (3) PACING PENNY TWO will now be making her third start off the layoff and should improve. 

Race 3

(6) MARY RITA HANOVER has been roughed up in last two but is in a very suspect field.  Filly has gate speed and should be forwardly placed.  (2) NOTHING TO WEAR is coming off a scratch and doesn’t show much, but gets a good post.  (10) JUSTINE’S PRIDE filly closed up nicely from a tough spot last out and has been in the money her last three starts.

Race 4 

(7) KATE THE GREAT consistently shows a good late kick and finds a softer spot. (8) WILLOW GRAM looks to be one dimensional, exclusively coming from off the pace.  Three-year-old needs a hot pace up front for her best chance.  (9) PRETTY PLACE had a couple of good efforts in this class a few back. 

Race 5 

(1) COCOTIER faces older but absolutely crushed her foes last time out.  (3) RENDEZVOUS KID has a win and a second in last two.  Three-year-old gelding faces younger and has gate speed.  (5) MELT IN YOUR MOUTH is a well bred trotter with immense talent and could be sitting on a big effort. 

Race 6 

(1) SHIPPS CON drops in class and looks to be a short price.  (6) M T NESTER comes off a short layoff but did have a good qualifier.  Gelding has some talent and could offer some value. (7) CINNAMON SPIDER finds a much easier field than he’s been facing and could pick up the pieces late. 

Race 7 

(7) JO JO SPUR has been racing well lately and finds an easy spot to get a victory.  (3) SMOKEN CAMBEST was parked the mile last time and still held well.  (2) LOST ONE has a lot of gate speed but tends to be lazy and needs a lot of urging early and often. 

Race 8

(4) SERGEANT STRYKER has been awesome in his last few starts and looks to be a short price.  (2) DIP N CHIPS looks to be heading in the right direction and gets a good post.  (5) GET A LITTLE CRAZY has also won two straight but takes a slight bump up in class.

Race 9

(7) WAY BACK WHEN picks up a top driver again and looks to be a big price.  (6) FOX VALLEY ARROW had an excellent first start for a new trainer and could improve some.  (9) BLUE RIDGE CLASSIC has won three straight impressively but takes a big jump up in class and would have to trot faster. 

Race 10

(1) FOX VALLEY RUBY faces older but is a little more seasoned than some.  Filly gets the best post and looks to be in line for a ground saving trip.  (4) BIG ZIPPER is a lightly raced filly that is very talented and looks to be improving with every start.  (3) BUBBLER has been saddled with bad posts and had to far to come.  Five-year-old has some gait issues but is extremely fast when right. 

Race 11

(8) WISCONSIN GIRL drops down to the bottom level and is versatile; big chance. (7) GT MISS ROYAL is also dropping and facing a very suspect field. (9) ANIGHTWITHWILMA has won three out of five starts in this class and could use some fast fractions up front to close into.