11/28/2014 12:39PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/30 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (50 - 98 / $196.90): MEADOWBROOK SAMSON (8TH)

Spot Play: HEAVENLY BEACHES (4TH)

 

Race 1 

(4) VALLEY PHOTO could have an excuse with the off track.  The well-bred mare has flashed some talent in a suspect field.  (5) OMYGOODNESS made a break last out at the gate.  If the mare stays trotting she‘s a threat.  (3) BAND OF PEARSL mare is 0-for her career but does own a decent burst of speed at times; use underneath. 

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Race 2  

(6) MELODIE HOTSPUR has been a force at this level and is one of few contenders in the race.  (2) LADYBONES raced gamely last out and should offer a nice price.  (5) KENNANS NANCY LEE is capable with a smooth trip and some racing luck. 

Race 3 

In a really weak field, (9) SONNY DEAN beat a similar group last out and is one of few with upside in the race.  (7) TORNADO HENRY will take tote action but races inconsistently from week to week; command a price.  (5) PHANTASM faces older but could hit the ticket underneath at a price. 

Race 4  

In a wide open and tough race to gauge, (3) HEAVENLY BEACHES owns a big late kick and just needs a good setup.  (6) ON THE RADAR gets sent out for a hot trainer first start in the barn; big chance.  (2) NO FEAR NO DOUBT has been racing over his head and could find this spot more to his liking; threat. 

Race 5  

(8) FLYING ROCKET will be very tough to beat in his second start for new connections coming off an easy victory.  (1) IT’S A BIG SECRET owns a victory at this level but will need more to out-pace the top choice late.  (7) BARBOSA should offer a big price and is best used underneath. 

Race 6  

(1) JO JO SPUR needed his last start and should be closer turning for home; fires late.  (2) ONCE A CHEATER is capable at this level but needs a smooth trip.  (3) CAMWISER has won three straight and is the horse to beat; short price.  

Race 7  

In a really weak and inconsistent field, (8) ROCK N KILO could have more to offer coming off an excellent victory.  (2) ODDS ON ROLOMITE loves burning cash but finds a suspect field.   (9) SECONDS LATER always takes heavy tote action but rarely wins; command a price. 

Race 8 

(6) MEADOWBROOK SAMSON drops in for a tag, gets a huge driver change, and faces his weakest field to date.  (1) CHIPPER has been knocking on the door despite the miscue and his record on the year; fires late.  (3) GLIDED TOWARDS ME has just been racing evenly; use underneath. 

Race 9 

(8) FOX VALLEY YAVONNE takes a huge drop in class and was the driver‘s choice.  (7) CHING’S LOOSE SON has some question marks coming into the race but does have talent.  (2) RIET’S KID closed nicely last out off the scratch and was improving prior to the scratch. 

Race 10  

(1) TOSHIE SPECIAL should offer value down in class with a pilot that is winless at the track.  (4) FOX VALLEY RUBY just missed last out at this level; threat.  (3) MIND ERASER went a big effort last out racing