11/01/2013 4:18PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/3 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (53 - 112 / $191.00): SANTANNA LONG LEGS (4th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY TOUCHE (6th)

 

Race 1

In a very bad trotting event (3) AGENT BOOTH raced really well last out and might have room to improve.  (1) BELLS MOPED draws the rail and has been  knocking on the door in recent starts.  (2) OINKERS has shown some closing ability and should be in a great spot turning for home.

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Race 2

(5) ELKHORN DAMIEN looks to be very tough to handle in this class.  (4) JO JO SPUR is probably the main threat to the top choice and would benefit from a fast pace up front. (1) JITTERBUG JACK draws the rail after smoking home off dull cover.

Race 3

(5) WACKO has some ability when she's sound.  The filly will offer a big price and will look to rally late.  (3) BAILEY'S WISH comes off a huge win in a nice stakes race and should be considered the horse to beat.  Two-year-old trotter has a big burst of speed but could be vulnerable late.  (4) FOX VALLEY LOTUS if you could predict the filly would stay trotting on the gait she would also have a huge chance.

Race 4

(7) SANTANNA LONG LEGS is the horse to beat in the race and just needs a smooth trip to get a win.  (6) ODDS ON SERPENS well bred pacer has nice early gate speed and been facing tougher.  (10) SVAYA KNOWS looks to be at the mercy of the outer flow and pace; use caution.

Race 5

(9) PERTTY MUSIC has the most upside in the race and also adds lasix for the first time.  The filly needed her last start and has more ability than the field if she's ready.  (4) KATE THE GREAT mare raced evenly off a scratch but owns a huge late kick in the right scenario.  (1) BUTTERFLY KISSER draws the rail and is better on the big track.  The filly could shake loose late and make some noise.

Race 6

(6) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE mare is a money making machine.  There's nobody in the race that has more gate speed if the connections want to use it.  If the classy pacer flies out of the gate she will be dangerous.  (1) LC TIFFANY was the top driver's choice and the trainer wins at a big clip at the track, however the mare appeared to be short late and now faces a much better field.   (7) DP ANGEL top driver opted off but the filly has been razor sharp and now will get a big test facing older.

Race 7

(5) COLECHESTER three-year-old is fast enough to win in this spot and will be tough to beat with a good effort.  (6) GREG AND FLEX was on fire late last out but had just been even prior; command a price.  (8) MAKE YOUR MOVE gelding has lacked stamina late; use underneath.

Race 8

(6) JETTIN JAMIE filly is loaded with talent and needed her last start.  The 3-year-old has big time go and is versatile.  (5) SCHMATIE filly was an impressive winner last out and is probably the horse to beat in the race.  (3) BABE'S CHIP mare has also been racing gamely and looks to just now back in racing shape after a year layoff.

Race 9

(7) FOX VALLEY SIENNA drops back down to a class where the trotting mare belongs and might be better than the field.  (2) OLD AUNT GEORGE mare raced much better last out and makes her second start for a new trainer.  The 4-year-old will offer a huge price and with a little racing luck could hit the board.  (1) DIDSHEPRAYNHOWE draws the rail and should save some ground.  The mare raced well last out and faces a softer field.

Race 10

In a wide open and extremely tough race to handicap (4) ARCH VILLAIN could be ready for a turnaround and was racing in much higher classes in this barn earlier in the year.  (10) LARRY'S PLACE always offers low value but has a nice late kick. (9) BURSTING BLAZE will probably be burning it up early and needs to avoid an early battle for his best chance.

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