11/21/2014 5:03PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/23 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (48 - 95 / $190.10): ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS (2nd)

Spot Play: LOLITA HALL (3rd)

 

Race 1

(8) VALLEY PHOTO mare has shown more ability than most of the field and just needs to stay trotting for a big chance.  (6) RINGO THE STAR was much improved in both the qualifier and the start.   The 3-year old gelding could have more to offer second start back off a layoff.  (4) OHMYGOODNESS trotting mare has just been racing evenly but does get sent out for capable connections.

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Race 2

(7) ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS comes into the race sharp having beaten better in two of his last three.  (2) BRICK BAZOOKA sophomore pacer will look to start his career with three straight wins but will need much more.  (4) ITS A BIG SECRET has some upside but is probably best used underneath.

Race 3

In a really weak field (9) LOLITA HALL has shown a big burst of speed and just needs a smooth trip for a piece.  (7) BLUERIDGE ADELINE should offer a big price sporting a terrible win record.  The connections popped a big price in recent weeks.  (2) WIZE UP has been slowly improving but has really lacked late when it matters most; command a price.

Race 4

(5) ELECTRIC INTENSITY has been a new horse for the connections and will look to make it three straight.   (8) INCREDIBLY SPORTY needs a good setup but gets sent out for a recent hot barn.  (7) SHOOTINFORTHESTARS could have a shot at the favorite late but needs to avoid an early skirmish for early position.

Race 5

(1a) ENCHANTRESS LADY has been inconsistent lately but her best effort puts her on the wire.  (4) FOX VALLEY CICERO the connections can't be left off your tickets despite burning cash in recent.  (6) RIET'S KID has some question marks coming off the scratch but has shown decent closing ability in a few starts.

Race 6

(3) LOVE THIS PLACE is tough to endorse on the top spot but is one of few that have been competitive at this level.  (7) SKINNY JEANS had no excuse last out but should get a good spot off the gate in an inconsistent group.  (5) PRETTY PLACE has been much better as of late and picks up a huge driver change.

Race 7

(1) MIND ERASER just missed blowing up the tote board last out against a similar field; threat.  (3) FOX VALLEY RUBY mare takes a good drop in class but rarely wins and looks to offer low value; use caution.  (5) EXCELERATED SPEED mare has made the most money in the field by far but needs a good setup to cash.

Race 8

In a field with few contenders (8) JOVANNA has beat this bunch before and showed a big move last race just tiring late.  (7) ODDS ON ROLOMITE well bred filly parlayed a perfect pocket ride last out and is in need of a similar trip.  (4) SECONDS LATER always offers low value and rarely hits the top spot; command a price.

Race 9

(8) PERCHED ON TOP filly has started to turn a corner and just needs to be closer turning for home; fires late.  (6) LIFE ON THE ROW was terrible last out but could have the ability to bounce back at a price for a hot barn.  (5) VICTORIA IVY filly gets a pilot that has yet to win at the track; use underneath.

Race 10

(4) AJ GET'S THE MONEY is racing much better than most of the field currently.  (6) KAPPY KRUNCH rarely wins but is dropping in class.  (10) JO JO SPUR gelding is the question mark in the race having been off a month, however the pacer has always been tough at this level.

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