11/02/2014 11:54AM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/2 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (44 - 86 / $170.70): ENCHANTRESS LADY (5th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY NELL (3rd)

 

Race 1

In a really weak field, (7) KITE FLYER has the most ability and just needs to stay trotting for a victory.   (9) BAND OF PEARLS offered up no resistance whatsoever last out but did need the start.   (4) POLARS BIG SPENDER made a break last out but showed good trot on both ends of the mile the start prior.

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Race 2

In a field with two contenders, (2) FOX VALLEY YOKO has eaten up his competition late in his last two with perfect drives in both.  (1) PERSUASIVE LOOK has a big late kick but needs to time her move right.  (3) FOX VALLEY HARRAH will likely look to cut the mile and could hit the ticket underneath with some racing luck.

Race 3

(8) FOX VALLEY NELL was on fire late in her last effort; big chance. (5) GIRLS HUNT TOO went a big three quarters of a mile last out just getting picked off late.  (6) IF I DIDNT DREAM could be ready for in improved effort despite the poor racing lines in her last two; fires late.

Race 4

(1) FOX VALLEY CHARM owns a ton of ability and looks to be in line for an ideal trip. (6) ANGEL DEMON hasn't been beaten by this group all year but could be vulnerable late.  (2) DUNESIDE SPLASH has been improving as the year has gone on and has the chance to hit the ticket.

Race 5

(4) ENCHANTRESS LADY was set to make a bold move at the leader before jumping it off last out.   (5) SPEEDY ALBER has been much better for the new connections; threat.  (8) FOX VALLEY CICERO was an easy winner last out making his first start for proven connections.

Race 6

(1) GENESIS MERCURY owns back class and is probably the most talented of the bunch; however the pilot is a huge question mark.  (5) ITZ ALIVE has been disappointing in his last few but finds a suspect bunch; threat.   (9) FOX VALLEY SIENNA takes a big drop in class but will have to find a way into the race with a provisional driver.

Race 7

(1) PERCHED ON TOP was driven aggressively last out just tiring late.  If the 3-year-old gets a good drive, she should have a shot late.  (8) ROCK N KILO has some excuses in her last two and is one of the horses to beat with a smooth trip.  (4) NITTY GRITTY has been tremendous in her last two and will be driven aggressively; threat.

Race 8

(10) PONDA PREMIER owns the best late kick in the field by far and has been much improved in his last few.  (7) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO is a well bred gelding that owns a good burst of speed and will be firing early.  (4) PYTHIA romped down in class; needs more.

Race 9

In a wide open and tough race to gauge, (3) PIERCE MY HEART fits at this level.  If she races back to a few of her prior efforts she can score at a price.  (1A) LIMA CALLIOPE is 1-for-20 on the year, but drops in class and has been facing much tougher.  (4) BLUE GEM bumps up in class off of a game first over score last out.

Race 10

(3) PRAIRIE IBEEZABERT has been driven conservatively in his last few.  The lightly raced pacer is sitting on an improved effort.  (5) LITTLE MAN MORAND comes into the race off a game victory last out; fires early.  (2) ISIS IVY looks terrible on paper but has shown the ability to have late pace against similar.