11/15/2013 6:35PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/17 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (54 - 115 / $193.80): HERE’S JOHNNY (3rd)

Spot Play: MAPLEGROVE SHAELYN (8th)

 

Race 1

(6) PERFECT PROFIT comes off a scratch and goes for a provisional driver but the trotting mare probably has more ability than the field.  Five-year-old will need to mind her manners but should offer a fair price.  (7) KELSEY'S STAR filly put in a very disappointing effort last out when she had everything her own way, however the 3-year-old has been racing much better since the added lasix; threat.  (5) SUNBONNET SUE well bred filly just missed last out and keeps the top driver.

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Race 2

(7) JUSTINE'S PRIDE goes for a barn that's been throwing out some nice priced winners.  The mare has beat this field before; threat.  (4) KENNANS NANCY LEE had been on a roll before the flat tire last out.  (5) BOILER HEIDI HO mare appears to be tailing off but was beating this field for fun every week not too long ago.

Race 3

(3) HERE'S JOHNNY well bred colt looks to be the fastest in the race and would win easily with a good effort.  (4) KISS ME I'M LOADED has really started to figure it out recently and should hit the ticket if he stays trotting.  (5) TIME TO QUIT is another trotter who is starting to turn a corner but might not be fast enough to challenge the top choice.

Race 4

(3) CONZO two-year-old closed a lot of ground last out, finds a really weak field, and was the top drivers' choice.  (1) READY is 0 for 35 but has paced faster than the entire field and might be ready to break his maiden.  (6) FOX VALLEY MISO was an easy winner last out and finds a similar field.

Race 5

(3) LARRY'S PLACE nine-year-old pacer has been empty for three races, that usually signals a turnaround for this barn; big chance.  (1) FOX VALLEY IVAN gelding makes his second start back off a layoff and should be tighter.  The pacer is a seven time winner on the year and is facing an inconsistent field.  (2) JUST ENOUGH has been much improved in his last few and gets a good post.

Race 6

(2) WESTERN BOUDOIR just got snapped late last out after a huge three quarters of a mile; short price.  (6) ROMANTIC LEGACY filly has some upside and might have more to offer.  If the top choice should falter this is the main threat.  (5) RALLY TO WIN loomed boldly for a good part of the race before tiring; use underneath.

Race 7

(8) WESTERN DEAL is on a big roll and looks like only a tough trip can stop him from hitting the wire first.  (3) DAVE'S BID is just rounding into racing shape and was shot out of a cannon late last start.  (5) CATMANDO has won four out of five but now bumps up a class.

Race 8

In a field with few contenders (9) MAPLEGROVE SHAELYN just needs to stay trotting and can win a number of ways.  (1) TIFFY draws the rail and should offer a big price in an evenly matched race.  (3) RUBYS AND PEARLS is tough to play on top but the trotting mare takes a huge drop in class.

Race 9

In a tough race to handicap (5) BULLWINKLE has been knocking on the door but does need a good trip.   (2) METRO LAD gelding has been very rough gaited in a lot of his miles.  He doesn't win often but probably has the most ability in the race.  (6) BEACH HERO came up empty after being sharp in his last three; threat.

Race 10

(1) ARCH VILLAIN was an easy winner last out and could have more to offer in this class.  (3) LOOK MA NO HANDS has been much better in the new barn and has shown good late kick in recent starts.  (6) BURSTING BLAZE has just missed to some game opponents and is one of the better horses in the race.

 

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