11/14/2014 3:57PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/16 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (46 - 92 / $181.70): IT’S A BIG SECRET (9th)

Spot Play: TIME OUTA JAIL (6th)

 

Race 1

In a wide open and tough race to handicap (6) MAYFAIR SOPHIE needs to stay trotting but finds a very weak field.  (7) RINGO THE STAR comes into the race off an improved qualifier and will offer a big price.  (3) POLARS BIG SPENDER has flashed some ability but does have some question marks coming off a scratch.

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Race 2

In another tough race to gauge (5) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER doesn't look like much on paper but does own a good burst of speed.  (7) IF I DIDNT DREAM filly comes into the race off a very nice first over score against the same bunch; fires late.  (1) SWEET ALYSSA just missed last out after having things her own way; command a price.

Race 3

(2) BANDS ALEXIS three-year-old filly makes her second start off a victory for proven connections.  (7) KITE FLYER is likely the only threat to the top choice but needs to mind her manners.  (6) ALL EYES ON HER well bred filly has some gate speed which could put her in a decent spot to hit the ticket.

Race 4

(2) ODDS ON ROLOMITE has burned cash in three straight but takes a significant drop in class.  (7) JOVANNA has been very competitive at this level with two recent wins.  (1) HAPPY TIMES THREE filly has been inconsistent on the year but could be sitting on a good effort.

Race 5

(1) LOLITA HALL lightly raced mare owns ability, picks up a big driver change, and has plenty of room to improve.  (7) PERCHED ON TOP will be the main danger late and could use some pace to close into.  (6) LIFE ON THE ROW gets sent out for capable connections; threat.

Race 6

(2) TIME OUTA JAIL dominated last out and looks to be getting better with every start.  (6) ROCK HOLLYWOOD was a game winner at this level a few starts ago but will offer low value.  The trotter has shown huge moves in his recent starts up in class.  (1) MAD COW LISA gets the best post but should only be used underneath.

Race 7

(3) SCARLET N SILK didn't show much last start at Hoosier up in class.  However the pacer will offer a monster price for proven connections.  (7) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH takes a big drop in class and owns the best late kick in the race.  (6) WINGS pacing mare is in career form and will get a chance to test tougher waters; fires early.

Race 8

(5) EMMERS trotting mare drops in class and should offer a decent price sporting a terrible win record.   (7) FOX VALLEY CICERO was much better last out after coming up completely empty the start prior; threat.  (3) RIET'S KID looks to be in line for a ground saving trip and could shake loose late for a piece.

Race 9

(1) IT'S A BIG SECRET faces much weaker competition and has been consistently showing good late kick; big chance.  (6) INCREDIBLY SPORTY went a nice effort last out for a recent hot barn.  (5) BLUE RIVER comes off a scratch but was racing gamely prior.

Race 10

(6) EXCELERATED SPEED probably needed her last start and should only improve down in class.  (5) LIMA CALLIOPE raced very evenly last out; command a price.  (10) GET THE TERROR filly is inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts her in the mix.

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