11/08/2013 3:43PM

Balmoral: Sunday 11/10 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (53 - 112 / $191.00): CHOIR ROBE (2nd)

Spot Play: MISS PAT WEISAR (3rd)

 

Race 1

In a group full of inconsistent pacers (2) LARRY'S PLACE has the top driver, leading trainer and excuses in his last two.  (5) IVE GOT THE KEY hasn't won much but does have good gate speed.   (4) CATMANDO first time in a new barn and gets a big driver change.

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Race 2

(1) CHOIR ROBE filly has faced much tougher and looks to lay over the field on paper.  (6) SPEEDY ALBER four-year-old has some ability and comes off a nice effort.  (7) JUSTICE AND FIFTH might have a few of the kinks worked out after a much better effort last race.

Race 3

(4) MISS PAT WEISER mare raced gamely last out coming first up and is a smooth trip away from the winner circle.  (1) PRIVATE ASHLEY adds lasix, draws the rail, and could be sitting on an improved effort. (7) STARDOM BOUND mare looks terrible on paper but does find a really suspect field and has flashed ability in the past.

Race 4

(7) KELSEY'S STAR second time lasix could be the key to victory after having a lot of trot last week with nowhere to go.  (2) JESSIESEXPRESSLANE filly went a big trip last out from the ten hole and wasn't that far off.  (4) TINY MITE mare made a break last out but did make up a ton of ground; threat.

Race 5

(2) COLECHESTER had nowhere to go until late but was full of pace; big chance.  (3) ARGON FIRE nice-looking pacer showed a good late kick last out and should have some room to improve after needing the start.  (5) THATSWHATTHEYSAY gelding was really good last out and could be even better this week.

Race 6

(2) LUCKY CRUSADER gelding is on fire showing a huge brush and crush last out first up.  The 3-year old goes for three straight and might still offer a square price.  (3) BET ON HIM has just been racing evenly but does take a significant class drop.  (8) JERRICO has only had two starts in the last six weeks but does have the speed and talent if he's ready.

Race 7

(5) KATE THE GREAT mare was sharp last out off a scratch and could be tighter this week.  (3) PARK LANE HEATHER mare finally showed some interest last out and was bet down heavily.  That could signal an aggressive effort.  (2) BUBBLER mare came up empty after being sharp the start before.  The pacer will offer a huge price and might be a good play on the bottom of the ticket.

Race 8

(3) WHISTLE PIG mare has had some late season issues but would have crushed this field earlier in the year.  (5) CAMS SAHBRA was my top pick before the top driver opted off.  The pacing mare was really good last out and just needs a smooth trip to hit the board.  (7) LIMA CALLIOPE the mare just missed last race and the connections have sent out some nice recent winners.

Race 9

(7) LOOKIN' AHEAD gelding needs to stay trotting on the gate but would have a big chance if he can mind his manners.  (6) FOX VALLEY SIENNA is one of the fastest trotters in the race but did make a speed break trying to leave last out.  (4) TAXMAN well bred 4-year-old is very inconsistent but does have ability.

Race 10

(7) BELL VALLEY ART was impeded last out and still made up a ton of ground from a tough post even with the interference.  The 5-year-old finds a suspect field and just needs a trouble free trip to hit the board.  (8) BEACH HERO raced gamely last out just missing; fires early.  (4) SKYWAY TITAN barn is hot right now but would need more against this field.

 

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