10/03/2014 6:06PM

Balmoral: Sunday 10/5 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (38 - 74 / $152.40): SANDCASTLE GIRL (3rd)

Spot Play: WINGS (8th)


Race 1

(7) ROMPAWAY GYPSY filly has the most upside in the field and just needs a good steer from a suspect driver.  (6) SCOUT faces older but really showed nice improvement last out.  (4) AIR FORCE BLUE has just been racing evenly but has some upside.

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Race 2

(2) BIKINIS ON TOP filly is 0 for her career but has made much more than the entire field combined.  (5) CIRCLE OF LOVE has shown good closing ability in her brief career and is likely to try and run them down late.  (3) OFFICIAL COURT lightly raced filly is still learning but has talent.

Race 3

(5) SANDCASTLE GIRL gets post relief against a softer bunch; big chance.  (1) PERCHED ON TOP filly has been coming along nicely as of late and the connections can improve one at anytime.  (6) ROCK N KILO well bred filly has some question marks but is certainly a player in the race when right.

Race 4

(1) ITZ ALIVE came up empty against a much tougher group.  The trotting gelding makes his third start off a long layoff and could be ready for a good effort.  (6) REVER EVER is also rounding into form off a layoff and owns some back class.  (7) B FLY MCQUEEN fits in with the field nicely and is a smooth trip away from a good piece.

Race 5

In a tough race to gauge (8) MARMARIA is going to offer a monster price and has shown the ability to pace a big mile.  (5) LYNRAE JAZMIN looks the best on paper off of two dominating performances, however the pacer could need more late.  (7) GABBY REI responded to the new driver last out; fires early.

Race 6

(10) FOX VALLEY QATAR has steamrolled his competition in eight straight; short price.  (7) RT HABENERO was sharper the start prior and will be firing early to try and get separation from the heavy favorite.  (5) JAKE QUAIDER gelding has been prepped for this spot but will need much more to get past the top choice.

Race 7

(3) LOVE THIS PLACE looks terrible on paper but can pop off a big mile any week.  (6) STATE STREET LIZ could be freshened up for a good effort after a couple weeks off; versatile.  (7) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH will look to make it three straight up in class.

Race 8

(4) WINGS mare put in a career best race last out just missing and any kind of similar effort puts her in the mix.  (3) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE should be used more aggressively against a much weaker bunch.  (1) DP ANGEL races very inconsistently from week to week but is a player at this level.

Race 9

(3) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO owns good early gate speed but is probably best racing off a helmet for a provisional driver.  (1) PONDA PREMIER has improved in his last two and now benefits from the best post; threat.  (7) QUIET HALL has the most ability in the field by far but could be using the race as a tune-up coming off a scratch.

Race 10

(6) LADYBONES will be looking to drop and pop down at the bottom level.  (4) DELIGHTFUL DOT mare makes her second start for red hot connections that can't be left off the ticket.  (7) FOUR HOUR NAP has been sharp and also drops down off some nice efforts.

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