10/02/2015 2:25PM

Balmoral: Sunday 10/4 Analysis


Race 7 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (43 - 66 / $151.20): RYLEIGH’S LILLY (7th)

Spot Play: SWISS MOCHA (8th)


Race 1

(3) BI POLAR ROSE will offer the better price of the contenders and looks to be in line for an ideal trip up close.  (6) FOX VALLEY YOKO will be another short price looking to make it five of six.  (4) SHEZ SO SASSY filly has never been able to compete with the top two but can hit the ticket if she minds her manners.

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Race 2

(7) FOX VALLEY BAILEY filly pacer was the driver's choice and has flashed more ability than most of the field.  The 2-year-old has been off a month but might not need her best against this group.  (5) MISS PROFITABILITY just raced evenly last week against similar; command a price.  (6) TEA PARTY TEMPEST showed a decent late burst in the qualifier and finds a field full of question marks.

Race 3

In a race full of trotters that have trouble staying flat, (7) POWERFUL PRINCESS might have the biggest burst of speed but does come off a nasty break late last start.  (9) IMA NEW FLYER filly comes into the race off two straight breaks but can trot a good mile if she stays trotting.  (2) SURVIVOR DI is in the same boat as the other choices but could be ready for a much better effort.

Race 4

In a tough race to gauge, (4) FANCY'S FALOOSHE gets sent out for capable connections off a decent qualifier.  (5) PRINCESS MIMI should be primed for a better effort second start back off the layoff; threat.  (1) LOLA GRAM was the driver's choice and gets the best starting post.

Race 5

(1) FEAR two-year-old can beat this bunch if he minds his manners.  (6) JD CHEESE has been improving all year long and could have more to offer after breaking his maiden; drivers choice.  (2) DR VENKMAN lightly raced trotter has some upside in an inconsistent field.

Race 6

(5) YESSIREEBOB was the driver's choice and has room to improve.  (10) LITTLE MAN MORAND comes into the race off a nice qualifier and just needs to find a way into the race for a chance to hit the ticket at a price.  (9) CATHERINE'SDIAMOND gets a negative driver change but has been knocking on the door.

Race 7

(6) RYLEIGH'S LILLY is going to be very tough to beat with any kind of pace to close into.  (7) FOUR HOUR NAP takes a big step up in class but looks to be in good form.  (3) FOX VALLEY CHARM filly raced gamely against older last start and will need a similar effort to hit the ticket.

Race 8

(8) SWISS MOCHA four-year-old gelding finds a weaker field than his last few and just needs a good setup.  (6) FIRST REVOLUTION is handicapped by the driver but the 3-year-old can trot up a storm if he stays flat.  (4) AGENT BOOTH should offer a big price off some ugly lines.  The trotter had some sneaky late trot two back.

Race 9

(9) EVA BELLA filly has been huge in her last three; big chance.  (5) ROCKNROLL CRYSTAL is one of few in the race that has shown a decent burst of speed in recent weeks.   (3) GET THE TERROR is 0 for the year but is capable of a form reversal any week.

Race 10

In a wide open race, (3) COWGIRL CHIC has been facing tougher and should offer value getting sent out for a low percentage pilot.  (4) FOXY ELLIE owns the fastest win in the field on the year and also faces easier.  (5) I'M TELLING YOU six-year-old has lacked stamina late in her miles but is capable.