10/25/2013 9:01PM

Balmoral: Sunday 10/27 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: OHTOBEAVET (3rd)

Spot Play:  BODDABINGBODDABOOM (5TH)

 

Race 1  

(7) PERFECT PROFIT needs to mind his manners but is probably the fastest trotter in the race and has as many wins on the year as the entire field.  (1) WE‘VE GOT IT ALL has a big post advantage and huge driver advantage on the top choice.  However, the filly trotter has yet to make it to the winner’s circle in 13 career starts.  (2) BELLS MOPED gelding is also 0-for his caree,r but has been knocking on the door in his last three. 

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Race 2  

(7) LIZZABELLE will likely be the value in the race especially if she can get a breather up front.  (2) SEXY CARD SHARK was a game winner last out, drawing off late and faces a similar field.  (2a) HIT BY LIGHTNING was also a winner last out and picks up the top driver. 

Race 3  

In a field with few contenders, (9) OHTOBEAVET has raced huge the last two weeks and would win easily with a smooth trip.  (7) DAVE‘S SKYSCAPER paced a nice mile last out but faces older and would need a big effort to upset the top choice.  (8) IGOTYOURCRAZY has a driver/trainer combo in his corner that has been bringing in some nice winners recently, but looks to be at the mercy of the pace and outer flow. 

Race 4  

(4) BAILEY’S WISH was overmatched last out but a good effort should beat a very weak and inconsistent field.  (8) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR has shown some closing ability in the past and should the front end come back to the field, the 2-year-old is a threat at a price.  Not quite sure if (2) FOX VALLEY LOTUS raced badly last out or if they had this start in mind.  The filly has shown more ability than everybody in the race except the top choice.

Race 5  

(1) BODDABINGBODDABOOM needed his last start and was flying late off a slow middle half.  If the gelding improves off that effort he could pull off the upset with a good trip.  (6) METRO LAD is off a very disappointing effort where he actually was rough-gaited late costing him the win.  The 3-year-old doesn’t win very often and will offer no value.  (5) LITTLE BIT SIDEWAYS has been good since the trainer change and is a contender. 

Race 6  

(4) LC TIFFANY lays over the field on back class, takes a big drop and picks up a red hot Oosting; short price.  (6) JETTIN JAMIE has talent but has been terrible in her last two.  If the filly can bounce back she could hit the board and is one of the better horses in the race. (9) OHMYBELLE never got into the mile last out but takes a huge drop in class. 

Race 7  

(6) DUNE IN RED has some positives going despite the big class hike.  The filly was a game winner last out and makes her second start in a new barn.  (5) COLE BLUE has been racing gamely and could use a breather up front to increase her chances of hitting the board.  (8) JUST BY DESIGN threw in a clunker last out but was sharp prior; versatile. 

Race 8 

(5) VICTORIZE didn’t race well last out but does find a very bad field. (1) TIME TO QUIT finally broke his maiden last out but would need more to make it two straight.  (9) DANE has two wins in two starts and gets a big driver change. 

Race 9  

In a very wide open and evenly matched race, (2) WEEKEND LOVE takes a significant drop in class and has done well at the track.  (4) REV ME UP has almost become an auto-toss from the top spot even down in class but has been racing better than her lines show.  (7) YANKEE EURO also drops in class and should offer a big price; threat. 

Race 10  

(6) BEACH HERO was an easy winner last out against the same field; fires early.  (3) WIMPY DOODLE is due for some racing luck and does have some upside despite his record. (2) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU makes his third start back off a layoff and has paced some fast miles earlier in the year.