10/25/2014 12:29AM

Balmoral: Sunday 10/26 Analysis


Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (42 - 83 / $164.70): FOX VALLEY CICERO (1st)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY NELL (2nd)


Race 1

(3) FOX VALLEY CICERO gets sent out for new connections who have a good winning percentage in this scenario.  (7) PONDA PREMIER has been much better in his last two despite a late break last out.  (6) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO well bred trotter has some ability but needs a smooth trip with a provisional driver.

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Race 2

(3) FOX VALLEY NELL never made it to the gate last race after being razor sharp the start prior.  (5) IF I DIDNT DREAM seems to be knocking on the door of a breakthrough performance; threat.  (4) BIKINIS ON TOP home bred filly has the most talent in the field but is handicapped by a suspect pilot.

Race 3

In a tough race to gauge (6) CHOCOUTURE two-year-old colt faces older but does make his third start back off a layoff and has tons of room to improve.   (7) KITE FLYER made a break last out as the favorite but is a major player if the filly trotter minds her manners.  (2) RIVERSIDE GOLD quit badly last out after being used aggressively but still should be considered a threat in a field full of question marks.

Race 4

(7) BI POLAR ROSE was using last start as a tune up for this race; fires early.  (4) FOX VALLEY YOKO looked to be the best earlier in the year and stormed by this field impressively last week.  (2) PERSUASIVE LOOK filly is much better when raced from off the pace and seemed to lose focus last out once she was in front.

Race 5

In another tough race to handicap (3) ISIS IVY went from awesome to empty and rough gaited last out.  A repeat of his effort the start prior makes him the horse to beat.   (8) GO RUN N TELLTHAT might be able to make the transition to the big track after flashing some ability at Maywood.  (5) HERE'S TOOTSIE three-year-old just missed last start getting picked off at the wire; threat.

Race 6

(6) SURCLASSER picks up the top driver and just needs a good setup to sweep past late.  (1) MASTER OF EXCUSES drew off last out down in class but needs a smooth trip with some luck to hit the top.  (3) ROMPAWAY BEAU owns plenty of back class and should offer good value in another wide open race.

Race 7

(4) SUE'S YOUR DADDY parlayed a nice trip to victory last race and could have more to offer.  The 3-year-old has been running second all year to a very nice horse.   (2) JOYFUL ROCK filly faces older but has tons of upside and seems to be improving with every start.   (1) FINANCIAL EFFORT mare scored off a perfect trip last out but rarely wins; command a price.

Race 8

(3) TIMEWELL will likely be used very aggressively and should offer a fair price.  (5) BOILER BOB THE QB faces easier and could be sitting on a big effort; threat.   (9) GALACTIC STAR has come up short lately when it matters most and is probably best used underneath.

Race 9

(4) LYNRAE JAZMIN gets an upgrade in the bike and just needs a smooth trip for a chance late.  (6) SUGARSWEET CHERRY should have had more late last start and was out gamed without putting up a fight; use caution.  (2) BUBBALA pacing mare has flashed some talent in a wide open race; driver's choice.

Race 10

(6) STAR OF THE GAME drops down to the bottom level and the pacer's last effort puts him on the wire.  (1) WOOP D DO BAZZLE gelding raced really well last out and keeps the best post; threat.  (4) YERMANOS rarely wins but is capable in a weak field.

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