10/17/2014 2:41PM

Balmoral: Sunday 10/19 Analysis

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Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (41 - 80 / $161.70): ISIS IVY (2nd)

Spot Play: IF I DIDN’T DREAM (5th)

 

Race 1

(3) FOX VALLEY HARRAH has been knocking on the door all year long; threat.  (4) PERSUASIVE LOOK probably has the most talent in the field but has come up short in recent starts against better.  (5) BI POLAR ROSE scored a big payday last out but could be using the race as a tuneup for the final.

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Race 2

(3) ISIS IVY three-year-old pacer makes his second start for new connections and was blocked with nowhere to go last out.  (4) PRAIRIE IBEEZABERT has lacked stamina late when it matters most but should be ready for a better effort third start back off a layoff.  (6) DUNESIDE LOUIE pacer has some talent and picks up a huge driver change.

Race 3

(9) AIR FORCE BLUE should offer a nice price and picks up a significant driver change.   (4) KITE FLYER filly faces older but finds a suspect field full of question marks; threat.  (7) OMYGOODNESS the connections are always capable especially in a wide-open race.

Race 4

(2) SUGARSWEET CHERRY well bred filly is coming along nicely and beat a similar group last out easily; short price.  (4) ALWAYS TALKING owns a big burst of speed and is one of few threats to the top choice.   (5) SECONDS LATER filly has a tendency to play the bridesmaid's role; command a price.

Race 5

(4) IF I DIDN'T DREAM had some sneaky late pace last out against a better field.  The filly keeps the top driver and should offer a big price.  (9) FOX VALLEY NELL was bet way down and driven very aggressively last out just getting snapped.  It looks like the connections have the filly figured out; big chance.  (6) TREAT FOR MY SWEET pacing filly has more ability than what she's shown but is probably best used underneath.

Race 6

(1) ANGEL DEMON is inconsistent from week to week but a good effort beats this field soundly.  (6) BS TYRICHESS filly doesn't look like much on paper but has really turned it around over the last month or so; threat.    (3) FOX VALLEY CHARM picked up a good chunk of change last start and is one of few with upside in the race.

Race 7

(6) SUE'S YOUR DADDY picks up a significant driver change and has made the most money on the year.   (7) VICTORIA IVY filly was given a bad drive last out costing her the victory.  The 3-year-old is versatile but will likely be flying off the gate early.  (9) ODDS ON ROLOMITE picks back up the top driver and didn't miss by much against a similar bunch last start.

Race 8

(8) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH pacing mare should offer a nice price from a tough post.  The 4-year-old could be sitting on a better effort this week.  (5) STATE STREET LIZ is razor sharp and the horse to beat with a trouble free trip.  (3) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare does her best pacing late and could use some fast fractions up front to close into; threat.

Race 9

In a field full of question marks (1) SPEEDY ALBER trotting gelding is off to a slow start on the year but is capable of pulling off the victory.  (2)  PAROLE OFFICER four-year-old was a game winner in his career debut and should have more to offer.  (8) PONDA PREMIER gelding went a big effort last out drawing off impressively.  The trotter has been very inconsistent on the year but a similar effort makes him dangerous.

Race 10

(9) REX PASSUS is the horse to beat at this level and could have an excuse last out with the sloppy track.  (3) PUT TO THE TEST gelding makes his first start for new connections and owns a win at this level.   (2) ACES AGAIN owns a big closing kick and just needs a good setup for a shot late.

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