09/04/2014 3:55PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/6 Analysis


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (34 - 64 / $138.80): KING OF THE SWAMP (7th)

Spot Play: MOLLY GO LIGHTLY (5th)


Race 1

(4) ANGEL DEMON finds the softer division and will look to take advantage early.  The 2-year-old has a ton of ability in a field with few contenders.  (5) SPORTSMUFFLER was right there on the wire with the top choice two back; threat.  (2) STAR GRAM has shown some improvement in his last two but is probably best used underneath.

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Race 2

(1) MR LELAND'S FILLY is too talented to leave off the top spot even though the final is next week.  The 2-year-old can flat out fly when it matters most.  (5) LEX got back on track last start but will need much more late to hold off the favorite.  (7) LUVNIECESTOPIECES should offer a big price and could hit the ticket late with some racing luck.

Race 3

In a field that only one horse fails to make the final (4) UNLOCKED has a nice looking winning streak going and should get an easy lead.  (2) PQ THREE will likely play it easy until turning for home; fires late. (5) FOX VALLEY DEUCE hasn't gotten the best of the favorite yet but it isn't for lack of effort.  (8) UNCLE UGLY three-year-old will be looking forward to the final and hitting the top spot is not in his best interest but getting a good prep before the big money is.

Race 4

(6) AL'S HAMMERED five-year-old stallion is back on his home turf and his wicked late kick will be tough to deny.  (4) FORT SILKY gelding comes into the race razor sharp but the connections only goal will to be in the top five.  (1) BIG DADDY WOO WOO was specifically prepped for these next two weeks.  The pacer owns some back class and could save some ground; use underneath.

Race 5

In a good betting race (1) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY filly has not came back to her freshman form, but could have an outside shot at a price.  (6) FOX VALLEY AMANDA is having a sensational season and owns a big burst of speed; fires early.  (7) THESLEAZYPRINCESS has been much better in the new barn and a similar effort of her last few puts her in the mix.  (9) MY LITTLE BIT morning line favorite will not be pushed overly hard with the big money on the line next week; use underneath.

Race 6

In the toughest 2-year-old elimination race (6) THISISHOWWEROLL has a ton of upside and has yet to put it all together; big chance.  (3) ENGINE ONE O ONE made up a ton of ground last out and should be much closer turning for home.  (1) ROCKIN CASSINOVA has eight wins in eleven starts and beat some very nice horses last out.

Race 7

(1) KING OF THE SWAMP well bred pacer finds the weakest of the two eliminations, gets the best post, and will be firing early.  (9) LUCPARK just needs a little pace to close into and should make the final rather easily; fires late.  (3) C NOTE lightly raced gelding has high profile connections and could show some improvement in his third career start.

Race 8

(6) LET'S GO HIGHER last year's Super Night Champ is back to defend her title and has been facing much tougher on the year.  (3) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE mare is a solid pacer consistently putting in good efforts.  (2) NO RESPECT went from dreadful to super sharp in her last three.

Race 9

(7) A COOL CARD gelding never should have been bet down like he was last start, however the pacer raced to his odds exploding late.  A similar effort makes him the horse to beat.   (4) BIG BRAD circled the field last out and will just be looking to make the final late.  (1) IAM BONASERA classy gelding just missed to a monster last out but could be saving his best for next week.

Race 10

(8) PARTY HANGOVER needs to be in the top three for the final so that means she will be firing early looking to keep her win streak alive.  (5) DUNE IN RED never moved a muscle last week against the boys but will be ready for an aggressive effort.  (1) STATE STREET LIZ has really blossomed in the last few weeks; threat.

Race 11

(6) RYLEIGH'S LILLY gets a good driver change and was going by the favorite before having to check late.  (7) WHISTLE PIG was super sharp last out and finds a field full of question marks.  (3) DALLAS JONES has made breaks in her last two but a good effort puts her on the ticket.

Race 12

(8) LUCKY CRUSADER takes a significant drop in class and should be tough to beat with a smooth trip.  (7) SAGE RUCK picks up a better pilot and was sneaky sharp last out.  (6) FOX VALLEY CUPID took a bye into the final and will look to use the race as a prep; use underneath.

Race 13

(1) PUT TO THE TEST gets the best post, owns a good late kick, and faces a much softer bunch than his last two.   (5) ACES AGAIN drops back in for a tag and has beaten better on the year.  (4) READY is capable of going a big three quarters of a mile but usually lacks stamina late; use underneath.

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