09/18/2014 4:17PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/20 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (37 - 70 / $149.80): DAKOTA ROADSTER (1st)

Spot Play: UNCLE UGLY (7th)

 

Race 1

(3) DAKOTA ROADSTER finds a much softer spot to gain some respect.  (4) THE BIG SLEAZY has progressed nicely on the year but would need more.  (7) LET'S NOT DWELL well bred colt comes off a nice confidence building score.

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Race 2

(3) ANGEL DEMON has much more talent than most of the field and just needs to bounce back from two disappointing efforts.  (6) COWGIRL CHIC was used very aggressively in the final and is one of few threats in the race.  (2) GIRLS HUNT TOO has some ability in a weak field.

Race 3

(3) MACIE RAE was rolling by for filly of the year and a big pay day before an untimely miscue last out in the final.  If the sophomore trotter stays on gait it's just a formality.  (4) GREEN ACRES owns a decent burst of speed at times but needs some racing luck.  (7) FOX VALLEY LOTUS races inconsistently but a good effort puts him on the ticket.

Race 4

In a tough race to handicap (5) THISISHOWWEROLL comes off a sickness and could be ready for an improved effort.  (4) C NOTE well bred colt has proven connections, will offer a nice price, and has plenty of upside.  (6) LUCPARK two-year-old came up empty in the Super Night final last out fading at the top of the stretch.   The gelding owns one good move when timed right but usually offers low value; command a price.

Race 5

(4) IAM BONASERA looks to be rounding into form late in the season; big chance.  (5) BIG BRAD has a chance to spoil the party should the favorites hook up at any point.  (3) TIME TO ROLL will be doing just that early looking to make it three straight.

Race 6

(6) ROCK HOLLYWOOD drops in class and picks up a good driver change.  (2) COLLECT CALL has been facing tougher and finds an ideal spot to do some damage.  (4) CLEVER UPSTART has been knocking on the door but is probably best used underneath.

Race 7

In a wide open and evenly matched race (3) UNCLE UGLY is capable of much better and will offer a nice price.  (5) SLEAZEBURGERNFRIES owns a big late kick with a good setup.  (1) OVERLOADED is part of an entry that could upset with some racing luck.

Race 8

In another tough race to gauge (8) GALACTIC STAR will be used very aggressively and is having a great year.  (7) WESTERN DEAL gelding races inconsistently from week to week but one of his better efforts puts him in the mix.  (4) TIMEWELL scored for the new connections last out; threat.

Race 9

(3) IN OVER MY HEAD well bred stallion never fired last week but was razor sharp the start prior.  (2) TINK AND TIGER is sneaky sharp right now and should save some ground before shaking loose late.  (7) BOOGIE NIGHTS has been tremendous since coming to the track but does get a negative driver change.

Race 10

(5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY gets a big driver change and should get a fast pace to close into; fires late.  (4) PURITY filly has the most ability in the field but is tough to drive.  Once the filly is fired up there is no stopping her; vulnerable late.  (2) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH is in career form and is the main danger late with the right setup.

Race 11

(5) MAJOR STARLIGHT well bred gelding comes off a scratch but has a lot of upside.  The trainer of the 3-year-old has a good record of winning at the track.  (2) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY looks bad on paper but is capable of jumping up with a big effort against softer.  (6) HOLY CHIP will take heavy action dropping in class for a low percentage pilot; use caution.

Race 12

(4) TOSHIE SPECIAL is just now back in racing shape and should make some noise down in class.  (10) ALWAYS ELECTRIC well bred filly could have more to offer off a great effort.  (9) KESONS ALLURE raced huge off a layoff and should be sharper second start back; threat.

Race 13

In a tough race to gauge (2) SVAYA KNOWS has been excellent for new connections and faces a much easier bunch.   (1) MISTER VIRGIN was sneaky sharp in his last effort and now gets the best post.  (10) STAMPED BY DESIGN has a shot despite no wins on the year; fires early.

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