09/17/2015 3:22PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/19 Analysis

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Race 9 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (41 - 62 / $145.20): FOX VALLEY GYPSY (1st)

Spot Play: VICK VALOR (7th)

 

Race 1

(7) FOX VALLEY GYPSY should offer a fair price in a field full of question marks.  (6) INFATUATED LOVE showed a nice burst of speed last week in the consolation and has some upside.  (1) LEXIROSE has been terrible in three straight but is facing weaker; command a price.

Race 2

(4) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN well bred pacer has room to improve in an evenly matched race; driver's choice.  (8) J B'S HERO has been facing much tougher but will offer low value and is 0 for the year.  (6) ALWAYS KENZER was much improved in the qualifier and should offer a big price.

Race 3

(4) BOWEDFORTYOVA nice looking 2-year-old was an easy winner last week against similar.  (2) FOX VALLEY CHINO went a huge effort last week after missing the gate.  If the pacer races back to that effort he's the horse to beat.  (1) BAYSIDE TEQUILLA fits in with this group nicely and gets the best post.

Race 4

(4) GOINDUNESIDE freshman pacer is ready for a breakthrough mile any week; top driver's choice.  (5) RED RED REDNECK took his shot in the Super Night final, it just didn't work out; threat.   (1) FOX VALLEY ELI owns some ability and gets the best post.

Race 5

(9) SWISS MOCHA is just now back in racing shape and will offer a big price in a weak and inconsistent field.  (3) REGAL MOTION well bred 2-year-old just needs to be closer turning for home; threat.  (6) PASTOR CLINT has breaking issues and faces older but when the gelding trotter stays flat he's very fast.

Race 6

(4) BS TYRICHESS takes a big drop down in competition and will be used very aggressively.  (5) I Y Q TOO filly had tough racing luck in the final but had been showing some improvement prior.  (2) DUNESIDE PERTTIE has yet to win on the year and really lacked pop late last out; use underneath.

Race 7

(7) VICK VALOR could be starting to blossom late in the season off a nice effort.  (8) FOX VALLEY YOKO should have been better off the slow middle fractions last week; use caution.   (1) GRC TRAVEL KING usually is good for the first few starts of the season and is capable of popping at a price off the layoff.

Race 8

(4) FOX VALLEY ELIJAH was unable to get into the mile last week but can score against this bunch with a good setup.  (9) ENGINE ONE O ONE went from super sharp to empty in the final last week.  The pacer was the top driver's choice and will look to bounce back; fires early.   (7) LUCPARK had some tough racing luck last week with bad cover; threat.

Race 9

In a very tough race to gauge, (6) ST ELMO HERO finds a softer spot and will be firing early.  (9) REX PASSUS gelding pacer has been super in a new barn and will offer another big price.  (7) BEST MAN HANOVER is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 10

(4) GIBBS should be able to handle this bunch with a trouble-free trip.  (3) EXTRAVAGANT ART couldn't win against easier last start but has a history of being competitive at this level; threat.   (6) MAJOR MONET was improved off the layoff last out and could be one of few threats to the top choice.

Race 11

(1) EVA BELLA was super last week just missing at a big price.  (3) FOX VALLEY PIPA is capable of a good brush when timed right; threat.  (5) GET THE TERROR has a terrible record on the year but is capable of hitting the board with a good effort; use underneath.

Race 12

(3) ALLAMERICAN MOTIVE takes a huge drop down to the lowest class; big chance.  (1) PHANTOM DAN could be the sleeper in the race at a price with some better racing luck.  (4) JO JO SPUR is always a threat at this level with a smooth trip.

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