09/12/2013 3:13PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/14 Analysis


Race 3 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 11 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (48 - 96 / $170.00): WESTERN DAME (5th)

Spot Play: KATE THE GREAT (3rd)

Race 1 – Lady Ann Reed Championship

(4) TROT FUDGE SUNDAE last year's champ gets a chance to repeat in the division and might have some newfound confidence from her last effort; fires early.  (9) SARA THE SPY consistent trotter has had an excellent year and can cap it off with the big one with a smooth trip.  (7) LITTLE MS CHRISSY has had her nose on the wire all year long and will be a part of the action early.

[DRF HARNESS: Watch the Super Night card from Balmoral LIVE on DRF! Plus video and full-card analysis!]

Race 2 – Su Mac Lad Championship

In a race with a heavy favorite (5) POWERFUL POE could upset at a price and might get the trip on his main rival. (1) KING MUFASA has been unreal this year winning eleven of twelve starts, however the sophomore trotter has looked vulnerable in his last few starts and will offer no value.  (8) SEMPER FIT is another upset contender having needed his last start and stayed trotting with the favorite.

Race 3

In a race where I am throwing out the morning line favorite (5) KATE THE GREAT looks to offer the best value and has been really sharp. The 5-year-old could use a fast pace up front and looks like she could get it.  (2) FOX VALLEY MATINEE mare has a lot of ability but is always inconsistent.  The four-year-old is versatile and just needs a smooth trip for a piece.  (8) REV ME UP mare is consistently outkicked in every start late; command a price.

Race 4 – Lorna Propes Championship

(4) MYSTICAL VICTRESS never really fired in the elimination but the champ tries to add to her legacy and might offer a much better price than her last few.  (1) LET'S GO HIGHER mare was huge last out crushing in her elimination and will give the top choice a run for her money with a repeat of her last effort. (3) JUST BY DESIGN five-year-old is probably a few steps slower than the top two but does get a great post to save some ground before shaking loose late.

Race 5

In a soft field (5) WESTERN DAME is loaded with talent and should be able to get the job done at a fair price with any kind of trouble free trip.  The 2-year-old would be a threat in the final and this is the consolation; big chance.  (1) FOX VALLEY FLORA filly has some ability and gets the best post.  (4) AMISPICYORWHAT just raced evenly last out but finds an inconsistent field.

Race 6 – Filly Orange And Blue Championship

(3) MY LITTLE BIT has been on a roll winning three straight and will be on the lead early.  (1) THESLEAZYPRINCESS just couldn't close on the top choice last race but does have the pedigree and speed to make it interesting.  (5) PARTY HANGOVER TWO filly's full sister won this race last year.  The 2-year-old has been improving with each effort and might be a sleeper in the race.

Race 7

(2) KING'S LEGEND gelding put in a poor performance last out but could have an excuse with the ship in and should be much better second start at the track. The 4-year-old could be sitting on a big effort and will offer a good price.  (5) CRIME OF PASSION four-year-old paced a big mile last out and appears to be heading in the right direction despite a poor record this year.  (8) WHIRLWINDIPLOMACY facing much easier and will be charging hard late.

Race 8 – Tony Maurello Championship

In a field with few contenders (3) A COOL CARD is impeccably bred and could be one of the best pacers in the country.  The 5-year-old sports an outstanding record of thirteen wins in eighteen starts.  (8) IAM BONASERA needed his last few efforts and has the back class to out pace the top choice late.  (6) GIBBS gelding will be a big price and went a sneaky good effort last out against some nice opponents; use underneath.

Race 9

(8) R CIAO BABY filly has shown some talent and will be tough to beat with a good effort.  (5) INCREDIBLE FILLY was used hard last out but had been pacing some good miles prior. (3) RYLEIGH'S LILLY filly is fast enough if ready, needed her last start, and could use honest fractions up front to close into.

Race 10

In a very wide open and evenly matched race (6) SAGE RUCK needed his last start and keeps the top driver; command a price.  (5) DRUNK ON YOU sophomore pacer has yet to win on the year just like the top choice but has flashed big speed and talent.  (1) BEACHSIDE BUNGALOW couldn't make up any ground against a very tough field but draws the rail and could pass some horses late.

Race 11 – Grandma Ann Championship

In a much more wide open race after the draw (10) AUNIQUEAQUISTION should offer a  better price handicapped with the worst post but needed her last start and was absolutely loaded with pace.  (6) DUNE IN RED filly had been off almost six weeks and raced extremely well in the elimination showing good pace on both ends.  The 3-year-old should be considered a threat and has a chance to upset at a huge price.  (1) DALLAS JONES could be considered the horse to beat in the race due to the fact she draws the rail and has really excelled in her last few starts; versatile.

Race 12 – Pete Langley Memorial Championship

(9) CRANKIN' IT UP went a big trip racing gamely last out to what will be the eventual favorite in the race.  The pacer is fast enough to win and just needs a little racing luck; fires early.  (5) MYSTICAL WALTER  three-year-old gets a chance to prove he's the best after dominating all year and will be tough to beat with a smooth trip.  (4) BIG BRAD came up empty in the elimination after racing out east but should be able to bounce back; threat.

Race 13

(6) BADGER QUINN two-year-old made an uncharacteristic break in the elimination after a shoeing change didn't work. The fast pacer would probably win fairly easily if he minds his manners; short price.  (4) GATOR BOY well bred gelding raced greenly last out before breaking but has a ton of upside and talent.  (3) TRULY WILD two-year-old never got into the race last out and would need much more to upset the top choice; use underneath.

Race 14 – Orange And Blue Championship.

(7) PQ THREE gelding will be a heavy favorite and just needs to avoid an early skirmish to take home the cash.  (9) TRAFFIC COP well bred 2-year-old went a big effort last out and will look to be up close to the pace early on.  (2) I BIZEL THE SHIZEL is extremely fast and talented but has been very roughgaited at key times during the race.

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