09/11/2014 11:43PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/13 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket

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Race 3 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 11 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

5 / 1,2,3,5,6,10 / 10 / 2,4,5,8,9 = $30

 

Best Bet (36 - 67 / $145.60) : IN OVER MY HEAD (5TH) 

Spot Play: BIG BILL BREEZE (2ND)

Race 1 

(2) MACIE RAE will look to wrap up the Illinois 2-year-old trotting filly of the year title with a victory.  (5) SAY NO MO is one of a few threats to the top choice and will look to make it a race late.  (9) BAILEY’S WISH has been trading victories with the top choice but was left in the dust last out; fires early. 

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Race 2 

(6) BIG BILL BREEZE makes his third start for new connections and was loaded with trot turning for home before making a break last start.  (3) FOX VALLEY VETO is having a big year and beat older invite trotters last out; short price.  (1) PHOTO SURPRISE could be primed for a big effort combined with a little racing luck. 

Race 3

In a really inconsistent field, (4) FOX VALLEY KIT has flashed more ability than what she’s recently shown.  (1) DUNESIDE PERTTIE is in the same boat as the top choice, but raced very poorly last start; command a price.  (5) ANNETTE’S Z TAM is a lightly raced filly that has a good pedigree and some upside against a weak field. 

Race 4 

In a field with few contenders, (2) MR LELAND‘S FILLY will look to make it six straight wins and owns the biggest late kick of all.  (5) SPORTSMUFFLER was super sharp last out, ripping home off a nice trip.  The filly will have her hands full trying to pace with the favorite late.   (6) ANGEL DEMON was terrible last out, coming up completely empty.  The two-year-old could hit the ticket with a better effort. 

Race 5 

 

(8) IN OVER MY HEAD was razor sharp last start even off a layoff.  The 8-year-old stallion will be tough to beat with any kind of pace to close into.  (1A) TIME TO ROLL is an impeccably bred pacer that will look to ration out his speed; fires early.  (3) BEST MAN HANOVER raced well in his last effort but will need more. 

Race 6 

(3) THESLEAZYPRINCESS had been a new pacer for a new trainer before being knocked out last week.  The filly picks up a new pilot and will offer a huge price.  (5) MY LITTLE BIT couldn’t have scripted a better way to come into the race, sprinting home late last start.  The pacer will be used very aggressively.  (4) PARTY HANGOVER TWO might have raced better than the entire field last out, just missing from an impossible spot. 

Race 7 

(10) MYSTICAL WALTER went from awesome to empty last start.  If the 4-year-old bounces back he will offer good value.  (5) SILVER DEVIL is pacing better than his lines show and could be sitting on an improved effort in his second start back from a scratch.  (1) FANCY CREEK ELUSIV has just been racing evenly, but finds a much softer spot than what the pacer has been facing. 

Race 8 

(5) AL‘S HAMMERED will look to make it three Super Night wins in as many years.  The sensational stretch runner is small in stature but has a huge heart; fires late.   (3) IAM BONASERA is capable of spoiling the party and picks up a good driver.  (4) FORT SILKY is getting sharp at the perfect time and will be winging off the gate. 

Race 9 

(6) UNLOCKED devastated his competition last out, adds Lasix for the second time, and will look to run up the score late.  (8) UNCLE UGLY was razor sharp earlier in the year and is one of few with the ability to challenge the favorite.  (5) FOX VALLEY DEUCE has finished second to the top choice in three straight. 

Race 10 

In a wide open race on paper, (7) RYLEIGH‘S LILLY came up empty last out but was sharp prior.  (1) AUNIQUEAQUISTION was last year‘s Super Night champ but has really struggled this year.  She finds a suspect field to try and snap out of it.  (8) THE BRUZILIAN BLUR owns a victory over a better field this year; threat. 

Race 11 

(5) LET‘S GO HIGHER just needs a smooth trip for another huge payday.  (9) DUNE IN RED went a big mile last out and will be flying off the gate.  (6) STATE STREET LIZ has really blossomed late in the year and should hit the ticket with a good effort; versatile. 

Race 12 

(3) DABESTLEADEREVER has won his last two starts at this level; big chance.   (6) NO FEAR NO DOUBT picks up the leading driver once again and could be sitting on a big effort.  (1) HEATH only has one victory on the year but shouldn’t be overlooked. 

Race 13 

(10) ENGINE ONE O ONE is a risky pick because of the miscues.  However, if the pacer minds his manners, it’s lights out.  (2) THE BIG SLEAZY is the horse to beat in the race should the top choice falter.  (4) CASEY AT BAT should find this spot much easier but has yet to show any improvement since the beginning of the year; use underneath.  

Race 14 

(4) EARNDAWG put in a huge effort last out circling the field and was the driver’s choice, which says a lot.  (9) ROCKIN CASSINOVA always gives an honest effort and will be blasting out of the gate.  (8) DAKOTA ROADSTER is the sleeper in the race, will offer a big price, and could sweep past late in the right scenario. 

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