09/10/2015 4:49PM

Balmoral: Saturday 9/12 Analysis + Pick Five Ticket


Race 5 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($7,032 C/O)

Race 10 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s 50 Cent Pick Five Play:

7,10 / 5 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 / 5 / 1,2,4,7,9 = $30

Best Bet: M A SMASH ON (6th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY BROOKE (11th)

Race 1

(6) SAGEBRUSH SAM will offer a big price and gets sent out for capable connections against weaker.  (9) NATURAL COWBOY has flashed some ability and gate speed; threat.   (3) SAGEBRUSH SID made a break in the elimination but picks up a good driver change in an evenly matched field.

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Race 2

(3) LK'S NANCY LEE filly pacer is due for a good effort and is the horse to beat if she stays pacing.   (7) MISS PROFITABILITY homebred pacer has been progressing throughout the year and gets a chance to shine in the consolation.  (5) AUNT ETHEL has been competitive against much tougher on the year.

Race 3

(3) PERSUASIVE LOOK got a nice tightener in last week and will be all systems go for the final.  (4) SHEZ SO SASSY filly trotter has shown signs of competing with the best in the division and could be ready for a breakthrough effort.  (5) BI POLAR ROSE filly just needs a smooth trip for a big payday; threat.

Race 4

(4) FOX VALLEY QATAR can make it two straight super night victories if ready off the scratch.  (6) CAPTAIN GREEDY got outdriven last week finding his way into a blindswitch costing the gelding a victory.  The 3-year-old can take division honors with a win; big chance.  (1) TRICKY NICK is the wild card in the race and has been much improved for the new barn.

Race 5

(10) LEXINGTON LADY will be flying early and just needs to stay out of a speed duel for a chance at a monster pay day.  (7) CHAR N MARG couldn't out-game the top choice last week off a perfect trip but it wasn't for lack of effort.  (8) NARCISSISTIC filly needed her last start and gets sent out for a capable barn.

Race 6

(5) M A SMASH ON two-year-old races very inconsistently from week to week, however a good effort beats this field soundly.  (6) FOX VALLEY ELI lightly raced freshman gelding had some sneaky late pace last week and has plenty of room to improve.  (3) FOX VALLEY CHINO flashed some ability early on but has regressed in the past few weeks; command a price.

Race 7

(7) FEEL LIKE DANCING five-year-old mare is versatile and should find this spot much more to her liking.   (3) NO RESPECT owns the most back class in the field and looks to be in line for a nice trip up close.  (1) FINANCIAL EFFORT will offer a big price against much weaker; threat.

Race 8

(5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY had to need her last start off over a month.  The pacing mare is going to be very tough to beat with a trouble-free trip.  (4) PARTY HANOGVER will be used very aggressively; fires early.   (1) REV ME UP gets sent out for a recent hot barn.  The pacing mare was impressive last week being used multiple times earning a victory.

Race 9

(7) MADOFF almost blew up the tote board two back against much better.  The price could still be right with the low percentage pilot.  (1) SILVER DEVIL gets a perfect post to pounce late; threat.  (2) LUCKY CRUSADER picks up a significant driver change and should also offer value facing weaker.

Race 10

In a wide open race, (3) UNLOCKED should be primed for a big effort getting sent out for a trainer capable of taking all the dough.  (4) IAM BONASERA when right is the best closer in the race; threat.   (2) COLE HEAT was tremendous last week tackling some nice pacers with a huge late burst and is likely to be overlooked.

Race 11

(3) FOX VALLEY BROOKE lightly raced filly could be the sleeper in the race coming off a really nice effort.  (2) SOUTHERN GIRL the top driver wasn't listed but that doesn't mean he won't be driving necessarily.  If the pacer is on her game she is just as fast as anyone in the race.   (5) LEX will offer a very short price and has some question marks with the DQ a few weeks back; use caution.

Race 12

(2) ENGINE ONE O ONE nice looking 3-year-old has finally put it together at the right time and will look to cash a big payday with the top driver.  (3) DINKY DUNE has been one of the best all year and looks to be in a perfect stalking spot up close.  (10) EARNDAWG can secure the 3-year-old IL pacer of the year to go along with his freshman one if he can score a victory from the far outside; threat.

Race 13

(7) ROYALE ROSE was super impressive last week taking no prisoners for the win.  The 2-year-old adds lasix for the second time and will be looking to go wire to wire again.  (9) DAN D DUNE might have the most ability of the bunch but looks to be up against it from a tough post.  (6) WONDROUS SPORT will also be a part of an early skirmish for position; threat.

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