08/21/2014 5:05PM

Balmoral: Saturday 8/23 Analysis

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Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (33 - 58 / $135.40): MORTAL COMBAT (10th)

Spot Play: GENTLE JANET (8th)

 

Race 1

(2) TIMEWELL was a force at this level a short time ago.  (6) MAJESTIC ROYALE has been sharp for the new barn despite only one win on the year.  (1) MASTER JEEVES has also been a new horse for red hot connections; threat.

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Race 2

(7) PRO SHOOTER makes her third start of the year coming off an improved effort.  (4) CYBER GAL has yet to win in twenty-five career starts, but finds a weak and inexperienced field.  (6) FOX VALLEY TAYLOR is a lightly-raced filly that has some upside, but could offer low value and has yet to show stamina late; command a price.

Race 3

(1a) MY MUSCLEMAN owns tons of back class against weaker and should be used aggressively.  (5) NESSIE'S BOY appears to be turning a corner off a really nice effort.  (6) SO PHOTOGENIC seems to be hit or miss and is probably best used underneath.

Race 4

(8) L A CAMCHARGER went a huge effort last out and should be considered a threat despite the jump up in class.  (5) MAJOR MONET is the horse to beat on paper and will be firing early.  (7) PRAIRIE THUNDER could be the sleeper in the race should the top choices falter.

Race 5

(5) AL'S HAMMERED had his win streak snapped and will be out for revenge; fires late. (6) FORT SILKY comes off a recent effort that seems like a signal for a return to last year's form; threat.  (3) BEST MAN HANOVER comes into the race razor sharp but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 6

(4) WILDARTISCAPE finds a wide open race and will offer a good price.  (1) IM A DAN FOOL has been racing gamely, gets the best post, and will be tough to beat with a smooth trip.  (5) WELL DUNE went a huge effort at Maywood last out.  The gelding looks to be getting better with every start.

Race 7

(6) BIG BRAD has a big late kick and finds a softer spot than his last few.  (3) REAL OR MAGIC has also been facing better and owns a big burst of speed when timed right.  (1) FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY is a veteran pacer that owns some back class and is versatile.

Race 8

(9) GENTLE JANET needs to find a way into the race for a big chance late.  The mare is coming off a sneaky-sharp effort showing a good late brush.  (5) M A DUTY has a lot of talent and finds a wide open race to do some damage.  (4) RYLEIGH'S LILLY could be the main danger late especially with some pace to close into.

Race 9

(6) A COOL CARD never had a chance last out from a tough spot and has the ability to pull the upset in good betting race.  (1) OUR DRAGON KING gets a significant driver change and is down in class; threat.  (4) ALWAYS THE SUN faces older and needs more but could hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 10

(8) MORTAL COMBAT is razor sharp for red hot connections; big chance.  (4) ODDS ON RHODONITE just needs a similar effort to his last start to have his nose on the wire.  (3) NO FEAR NO DOUBT is capable of a good effort with some racing luck.

Race 11

In a wide open and good betting race, (3) DP ANGEL has a big burst of speed and good closing ability in a race that could set up for closers.  (2) STATE STREET LIZ was sharp prior to coming up empty last out and has a history of bouncing back.  (1) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH is having a big year and could have needed a few weeks off to freshen up.

Race 12

In a very tough race to handicap, (4) PIERCE MY HEART has been knocking on the door in her last few and should hit the board with a good effort.  (3) CANDY N APPLES has just been racing evenly but will offer a big price and can pace big miles from time to time.  (1) LEANMEAN NORMAJEAN looks terrible on paper but gets some post relief while down in class.

Race 13

(8) SAILOR'S FORTUNE went a huge effort last out.  The pacer gets a big driver change and adds Lasix for the first time.  (9) SVAYA KNOWS has been razor sharp for the new connections; threat.  (1) WHIRLWINDIPLOMACY has yet to fire this year but has shown signs of a turnaround.  However, the pacer should offer low value; use caution.

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